16 Tweets 10 reads Jan 28, 2023
Can towed artillery still be an asset on the modern battlefield?
Letโ€™s take a look at M777s, the most numerous 155mm system and NATO arty system in Ukraine today.
Ukraine has innovated in many ways to still make them relevant in the face of UAVs.
Hereโ€™s a recent video๐Ÿ‘‡
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In the 1st month after their arrival, they were praised for their ease of use & accuracy despite their slow rate of fire.
@ratushnyi_r, a ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ activist & soldier, reported that his recce team was constantly getting 1st round effects, the main objective of artillery.
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During the summer, ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ was able to shoot 60k rounds/day, meaning ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ was being outshot 20:1
Survivability moves (not shoot & scoot as itโ€™s sometimes called) were required. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ HARMS strikes had not yet degraded ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ radar capabilities fully.
Speed was key, & M777s did fine.
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September brought two major ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ counteroffensives, and ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ artillery was on the back foot.
M777 crews had more time to set up firing points (FP), safely store ammunition and propellant, and do more time-consuming missions like EXCAL.
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More time at the FP between moves led some to believe that ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ was reckless. However, it was more likely to do with a reduced threat from ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ counterfire.
HARMS had probably destroyed many radars and ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ was only firing 20k rounds daily at this time (thanks to HIMARS)
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ M777 crews resembled American ones in a lot of ways at this point, but the lack of camo nets and ammunition/propellant improperly stored could pose a hazard if Russia changed tactics.
Which they soon didโ€ฆ
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Meet the ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Lancet UCAV. At 3kg+ of HE and a range of 40km, itโ€™s ideal against radars, but has mixed results against armor/vehicles.
In some cases resulting in a flat tire. With less arty ammo available, ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ began to use these more instead of arty.
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However, it was soon discovered seemingly by accident that Lancets had difficulty penetrating camo nets used by ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ tanks to shoot indirect fire.
(Again, not good against armor)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ quickly passed these lessons learned to their M777 crews which were more vulnerable.
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Within a week, metal fences/screens were being incorporated into camouflaging nets to provide protection against Lancets.
While this meant M777s would be less mobile, it meant they would be protected from their current threat.
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Using an Orlan-10 for observation and 1-3 Lancets for strikes, the costs of NOT putting up nets was/is high.
The more M777s displaced to new positions, the easier they were to find. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ UAV constantly scan roads behind ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ lines.
This is the paradox of survivability moves.
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Unsurprisingly, more & more ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ artillery units (in this case a ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Krab) decided to incorporate these into their FPs even if they were highly-mobile SPGs.
This could show that the threat from loitering munitions has outgrown the threat from ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ artillery, at least currently
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However, staying static isnโ€™t without risk.
Complacency, improper storage, and fuzing rounds before missions start can cause catastrophic results, as seen here.
Propellant (the tubes strewn across the FP) completely lost and fuzed projectiles burned/damaged.
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Lastly, what lessons should ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ artillery take away? The start of answer is already in doctrine. All ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ arty systems already have checklists with nets for use against detection/observation.
If reinforcing them with metal can help stop small drones, it should be considered.
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Military innovation, leadership, and planning is all about understanding, analyzing, and mitigating risk. With every benefit comes a potential danger.
Ukraine has shown great skill when it comes to balancing risk. We should all dig deeper to better understand how.
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Final Roll-Up:
-152+ M777 delivered
-35 damaged/destroyed
-9 months of use, 1 of the 1st NATO arty systems in ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
-Barrels firing up to 7k rounds before replacement, 4k more than expected
-A key weapon system for Ukraine thatโ€™s made a huge difference on every front
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