THE SHORT BEAR
Stoic trader and investor | since 2013 | driven by Philosophy & Psychology | VC & PE|Tweets are purely for entertainment purposes and not investment advice
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Software multiples are at mid term lows. Comparing it with prior lows is hard because the quality of profitable SaaS has drastically approved. In essense the worst companies(unp...
The hardest part of investing and long term success is a deep cycles understanding. The longer you are in the game, the more exposed you get to these environmental changes. https:...
I spent my evening analyzing some of @michaeljburry 's comments on EBIDTA and Free cash flow generating business both in terms of bucket correlation and own merits. Burry: "29 com...
US trade partners will start to ring the alarm. As Europe and China head into a recession the strong dollar will put fuel on the fire. Especially for Europe and the oil and der...
As we potentially head towards a breakout on indices, be weary of sustained panic for the first wave. In 2008, we breached the lows by 4.5% within 9 days. It took us another 43...
The worst about this new rest will be: -Older generations will be sitting with property paid off or at 2% VS young generation not able to pay the mortgage rate -Older generation...
Thoughts about the bear market β’Corrections grind lower than you think β’10% of Breakouts work β’90% of strength comes in one burst, forms a range and uses the range to sell sh...
Fintwit/Twitter is one of the best tools to accelerate your learning curve. In that mindset, let me share a few tips on how to limit your exposure to things that will expose you...
CPI vs FED fund rate vs Nasdaq during the inflationary period of the 70s-80s. At the high of the 1980 inflation, the CPI was a far better forecaster for the bottom than the FED ra...
FED rate hike cycle. I also want to make something clear here that is being misrepresented over the last period. Returns during rate hike cycles, causation vs correlation.
The cocktail we are seeing in real estate is particular Real estate is locked in via long term loans at 2% for a big proportion of owners while inflation is pricing out new buyers...
Most of the days, especially in big caps are absolutely random(random distribution). Big players step in with orders running all day with some shorter time frame orders on top....