Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي
Eva J. Koulouriotis | إيفا كولوريوتي

@evacool_

11 Tweets 44 reads Jul 28, 2021
#Daraa #درعا
Why should #Israel watch carefully what is happening in Daraa Governorate, especially the neighbourhoods of Daraa city, which are witnessing dangerous developments recently and which may subsequently affect Israel's security?
1/11
#Syria #USA #Russia
For several weeks, the #Assad regime, supported by Iranian, Lebanese, Afghan and Iraqi militias and backed by #Moscow, besieged the neighbourhood of Daraa al-Balad, which is still under self-control by its revolutionaries. 2/11
#Syria #Iran #Hezbollah #IRGC #Russia
There are several reasons behind this move, the most important of which is that this governorate of #Daraa, most of which did not participate in the presidential elections, and that members of Assad militia are being killed continuously by former revolutionaries in the area.3/11
At the outset, it must be emphasized that the #Netanyahu government had an important role in the Assad regime's control of southern #Syria when it agreed to influence the decision of the MOC Operations Room in support of the rebels in southern Syria.4/11
#Israel #IDF #Russia
This role was based on Russian promises that Moscow would work to prevent #Iran's presence in southern #Syria, or at least reduce it over time, within a special temporal and geographic plan.5/11
Note : the green circles on the map represent the Iranian presence.
#Russia #Israel
Of course, these Russian promises over time have proven their obvious lies, as the Lebanese #Hezbollah militia and the Iranian Quds Force have military points that are only hundreds of meters away from the #Golan front.6/11
#Israel #IDF #IAF #Iran #Russia
Far from what Israeli officials promote from time to time about reducing #Iran’s role in #Syria and its exit from the country before the end of 2020, the reality is that Iran is increasing its influence in Syria continuously and upward.7/11
#Israel #IDF
Returning to #Daraa, the Assad regime's control over the of Daraa Al Balad will mean the beginning of its control over the entire governorate, and in light of the lack of human capabilities, #Iran and the Lebanese #Hezbollah will increase their presence there as well.8/11
Also, this new reality will mean a victory for the Iranian vision of the military solution over the Russian vision, which is based on the principle of reconciliation, and thus the Russian presence and influence will be limited little by little in southern #Syria in general.9/11
The #Hezbollah militia will also increase its recruitment operations in southern #Syria, which will make the #Golan front linked in the future to any war between #Israel and Hezbollah in #Lebanon.10/11
In my opinion,what Netanyahu did to hand over southern Syria to Assad in the past was a fatal mistake,therefore Bennett government should have a role in preventing a military operation that leads to more Assad's control there,considering it a threat to Israeli national security.

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