ฮžlias Simos
ฮžlias Simos

@eliasimos

3 Tweets Jan 15, 2022
For nearly all of Ethereum's history its price has correlated strongly positively with the trend in active addresses.
Since EIP-1559 ๐Ÿ”ฅ came to effect, the price of ETH keeps rising but the correlation with aa's has weakened significantly.
Let's take a closer look ๐Ÿ‘‡
1/ What the chart above hints towards, becomes crystal clear when you run the numbers.
Up to August 2021 the correlation between price and aa's stood at an average of approx. 80%.
It has since flipped to a negative 32% ๐Ÿคฏ
2/ But why is this the case? Well for one EIP-1559 has introduced a burning mechanism to the economics of ETH.
The first-price auction mechanism is out the window and instead we now have a basefee + priority fee mechanism instead.
The basefee is what gets burned.

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