18 Tweets 100 reads Apr 03, 2022
Tata Power Analysis!๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ
A detailed thread ๐Ÿงต๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿป
#Tata #investing #stocks
(1/17)
About-
Tata Power is Indiaโ€™s largest integrated power company.
It has a power generation capacity of 13,068 MW.
The company is present across the power business spectrum, from generation (thermal, hydro, solar and wind) to transmission and distribution.
(2/17)
Itโ€™s business segments:
1. Renewable Energy Generation
2. Conventional Energy Generation
3. Transmission & Distribution
4. Power Trading
5. Service Business
6. EV charging solution
It is one of the largest renewable energy players in India.
(3/17)
Key Growth Drivers:
1. Strong financial flexibility-
TPCL has stable cash accrual and adequate liquidity. Being a part of the Tata group, Tata Power benefits from access to the capital market & the banking system.
Tata Sons has a 45.2% shareholding in Tata Power.
(4/17)
2. Diversified business-
TPCLโ€™s presence across the value chain of the power sector (generation, transmission & distribution, power trading) protects it from project-specific issues, helps achieve operating efficiencies & better working capital management.
(5/17)
3. Strong Revenue Visibility:
TPCL business models is decoupledโ€” minimal demand/volume risks as more than 80% of the PAT is attributable to the core
regulated business.
Thus core earnings are resilient enough even during demand decline.
(6/17)
International Presence:
It has an investments in Indonesia through 30% stake in the
leading coal company PT KPC to securitise coal supply for its thermal power generation operations & in Bhutan through a hydro project in partnership with Govt of Bhutan.
(7/17)
Key recent business highlights-
1. Tata power solar won total 320 MW of Utility scale EPC orders including Indiaโ€™s largest Solar and Battery Storage Project of 100 MW in Chhattisgarh
2. 100 MW Solar PV projects commissioned in January โ€“ 50 MW each at Prayagraj and Banda
(8/17)
3. MoU with TVS Motors to collaborate on electric 2-wheeler charging eco-system in India
4. Partnership with Apollo Tyres to deploy charging stations at its Vehicle Zones across India
5. LoA received for development of 300 MW of hybrid wind & solar project from MSEDCL
(9/17)
Tata Powerโ€™s EV numbers-
1. ~42000 registered users
2. ~1,300 Cumulative EV charging points
3. ~7,800 cumulative home chargers
4. Spread across 252 cities in India
5. Partnership with companies like TVS, Apollo tyres, BEST, Nayara Energy
(10/17)
Tata Power Joint Ventures and Associates-
1. Coal Companies (KPC, BSSR, AGM) - Share ~30%
2. NTP Share 30%
3. Powerlinks Trans Ltd - 51%
4. Industrial Energy Ltd - 74%
5. Resurgent Power - 26%
6. Tata Projects - 48%
(11/17)
Tata Power Financial Performance-
1. Revenue - โ‚น11,015Cr Vs โ‚น7,756 YoY
2. EBITDA - โ‚น1,841 Cr vs โ‚น1,997 Cr
3. PAT - โ‚น552 Cr vs โ‚น318 Cr
TP Renewable Energy Ltd
Q3FY22 vs Q3FY21
1. Capacity - 1751 MV vs 1469 MV
2.Wind - 655MV vs 655MV
3. Solar - 1096MV vs 815MV
(12/17)
Ratings upgrade-
1. Moodyโ€™s Investor Services upgrades Companyโ€™s credit rating by one notch to Ba2 (Stable) from Ba3 (Stable)
2. S&P Global upgrades by two notches to BB Rating (Stable) from B+ Rating (Positive)
โ€ข Managementโ€™s goal is to get D/E from 2.3x to 1.4.x
(13/17)
Changing narrative:
The narrative is gradually shifting from a deleveraging/value
proposition company to growth-oriented company as
Management has set an ambitious FY25 target to double
revenue to ~โ‚น600bn, triple profit to โ‚น36bn & 550bps
accretion in RoE to 12% plus.
(14/17)
Key Expansion areas:
1. Cell & Module Manufacturing:
The company plans to do a capex of โ‚น34Bn in the next 18months. And increase manufacturing capacity by 4 GV in both segments.
2. Company participated in the PLI Scheme to increase its solar manufacturing capacity.
(15/17)
Shareholding Pattern:
1. Promoters - 46.9%
2. FIs & Local MFs - 15.57%
3. FPIs - 10.84%
4. Public - 26.73%
(16/17)
Conclusion-
Tata Power is well focused on utilizing technology to achieve operational excellence & execution
Strong execution, increased order wins in solar, falling AT&C losses in Odisha & rising revenue are the key factors that will drive revenue in the medium-term.

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