20 Tweets 38 reads Apr 04, 2022
Asian Paints Analysis! ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ
A detailed thread ๐Ÿงต ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿป
#investing #stocks
(1/19)
About-
The Asian Paints group is the largest paint manufacturer in India. About 84% of its revenue comes from decorative paints
It is also present in the home improvement space through wholly owned subsidiaries, Sleek for kitchens & wardrobes & Ess Ess for bath fittings
(2/19)
Capacity Overview-
โ€ข Installed paint capacity ~17.3 lakh KLpa
โ€ข 8 Decorative paints plants in Ankleshwar, Medak, Kasna, Sriperumbudur, Rohtak, Khandala, Mysuru & Visakhapatnam
โ€ข An industrial paint plant in Taloja (Maharashtra) and a penta plant in Cuddalore.
(3/19)
Industry Backdrop:
India has a huge decorative segment with ~75% market share. This is unlike the global marketsโ€™ structure where decorative segment contributes less than 40%.
It is the fastest growing paint market in the world with a 15 year CAGR of 10%
(4/19)
APLs revenue breakup:
โ€ข Decorative Business - ~84%
โ€ข International Business - 11.5%
โ€ข Industrial Coatings - 2.5%
โ€ข Home Improvement - 2%
Distribution Network:
โ€ข Total Dealers : ~60,000
โ€ข Colour tinting machine - ~46000
โ€ข Presence in 15 other countries
(5/19)
Performance so far in 2022
โ€ข Revenues for 9MFY22 grew by 53% YOY to โ‚น21,208 crore from โ‚น15,061 crore in 9MFY21, following sharp recovery during the third quarter of current fiscal after covid related localized lockdowns partly impacted off-take in the first quarter.
(6/19)
A true leader:
โ€ข Largest paint company in India
โ€ข 3x the size of the nearest competitor (Berger Paints) in terms of Total sales
โ€ข Has remained a market leader for over 5 decades
โ€ข 9th Largest Paint company in the World
โ€ข 3rd largest in Asia
(7/19)
Risk Profiling of APL:
APLs financial risk profile remains strong driven by low debt on its balance sheet & sizeable liquid surplus at about โ‚น3,400 Cr as on Sept 30
APLs capex (~โ‚น750cr) over the next 2 fiscals can be easily funded from annual cash accrual (>โ‚น1600Cr)
(8/19)
Key Growth Drivers:
1. Market leadership:
APL has a dominant share of ~50% in the organised domestic paints market (the 2nd-largest player has a market share of ~16%).
In the decorative paints segment, which comprises 84% of the industry, APL has a share of ~60%.
(9/19)
2. Healthy operating margin:
Asian Paintsโ€™ OPM of 16-19% is higher than that of peers. Market leadership helps the group to pass on RM price increases partly to customers. Though OPM are exp to fall to ~14-15% in the current fiscal due to sharp increase in input prices.
(10/19)
3. Fastest growing paint industry in the world:
The paint industry is expected to
continue to report healthy volume
growth led by immense demand
for repainting as well from higher
construction activities, premiumisation, urbanisation & ease of painting process
(11/19)
4. Best numbers among its peers:
โ€ข Highest OPM% - 16.78%
โ€ข Highest Sales - โ‚น27,860cr in FY21
โ€ข Highest ROIC - 35.41%
โ€ข Highest ROCE 5 Years - 35.7%
โ€ข Highest ROE 5 Years - 26.4%
โ€ข Net Debt free
(12/19)
APLs Home Improvement business:
โ€ข Kitchen Business: This segment is showing healthy numbers. Revenue came in at โ‚น111 Cr up 37% YoY in
Q3FY22.
โ€ข Bath Business - Revenue at โ‚น103Cr, up 42% YoY in Q3FY22.
Due to strong collaboration with decorative & sanitary ware.
(13/19)
Pressure on Numbers going forward:
1. Hike in crude prices that almost makes up for ~55% of the input cost. Though the company has already hiked 15% in Q3.
2. Opening up of economy means people wonโ€™t be spending money on home improvements.
(14/19)
Other risk: Limited pricing flexibility
The organised paint industry is dominated by a few large players. Consequently, while paint manufacturers have the flexibility to pass on cost increases, their ability to absorb cost benefits & thereby increase margins is limited.
(15/19)
The paint sector has a significant impact on the environment owing to high water consumption, waste generation & Green House Gas emission.
The sector has a higher focus on employee safety & the impact on local community given the nature of its operation.
(16/19)
APLs ESG work:
1. APL reduced its absolute scope 1 & 2 emissions by 54% & 39% by increasing its renewable electricity consumption by 57% from baseline year (FY13-14)
2. It reduced its hazardous waste disposal by 56% from baseline year (FY13-14)
(17/19)
Shareholding Pattern:
1. Promoters - 52.63%
2. FIIs - 20.5%
3. DII - 7.2%
4. Public - 19.7%
(18/19)
Conclusion:
APL has far superior numbers than its peers. It has a history of adapting well to the changes (APL bought a supercomputer in 1970, 10 years before ISRO & 22 years before any other company would do the same ) & that instils confidence among its investors.
(19/19)
Do you think the growth trajectory will continue going forward?
@caniravkaria @stockifi_Invest @VRtrendfollower @kuttrapali26 @mehrotra_saket @aparanjape @MadhusudanKela

Loading suggestions...