Ethan Mollick
Ethan Mollick

@emollick

4 Tweets 2 reads Aug 16, 2022
Grimmest theory about why Europe unexpectedly became the economic power of the early modern world: high death rates pushed up wages. The Black Death drove Europeans to cities that were unhealthy but rich & taxable death traps, taxes funded unending wars leading to more disease.☠️
Europe may have won because of its terribleness: its cities were disease-ridden hellholes compared to Chinese or Roman cities & its leaders were unable to bring unity or peace. All of this ironically may have led to a cycle of higher wages.
Paper here: doi.org
Related thread on the long-term linkages of population levels and per-capita GDP
Open version of paper: papers.ssrn.com
And for those pointing out that historians have long written about the disruptive effect of the Plague, the the paper cites historians on that. But as an economics paper, the focus is in the continuing wage growth cycle post-Plague

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