Richard Moglen
Richard Moglen

@RichardMoglen

6 Tweets 2 reads Jan 14, 2023
@InvestmentTalkk It's interesting to look at the chart of $MSFT during the period he's discussing.
It had an amazing 300% run from a classic IPO consolidation but then made no progress for 2 years with 1988 being a lost year (for most stocks in general after the crash)
@InvestmentTalkk During the 2 year period I see a lot of early breakout spots where I could/likely would have been sucked in, none of them produced meaningful moves.
The true next move beings in the fall of 89 when the stock finally makes a new all time high.
The Stage 2 uptrend begins 9/11/89
@InvestmentTalkk This breakout started another excellent run of 300% until price progress slowed in 1992 1993.
@InvestmentTalkk The stock was stagnant for 2 years until it started outperforming the market in March 1984 and broke out into a new Stage 2 amid a market correction
@InvestmentTalkk This breakout led to a massive move of 2000% over 6 years. The market itself was of course a huge driving factor during this time.
During the strongest moves after new base breakouts, it held the 10 week
@InvestmentTalkk The top occurred along with most stocks.
MSFT had a breakout that failed in Jan 2000, then a gap below the long term MAs in April 2000, and the Stage 4 also began in April.
That All time high was not broken until 2016.

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