We begin the MMWR Wk 37 Update with the Non-Covid Natural Cause Mortality chart. It continues to bear robustness versus the baseline.
(No, this is not caused by the PFE - PFE is only ~ 15% of this excess, & declining)
A jump of 6,000 deaths since last week. A 5+ sigma event.
(No, this is not caused by the PFE - PFE is only ~ 15% of this excess, & declining)
A jump of 6,000 deaths since last week. A 5+ sigma event.
Abnormal Clinical and Lab Findings hold-records took an alarming 5% jump in a single week. The persistence of this bucket of deaths, along with the refusal to release these 29 K records to their final disposition - is highly concerning.
Influenza and Pneumonia took their first uptick in a very long time, these last two weeks. Too small a blip to signal anything just yet. We just keep a watch.
We have documented that Non-Natural Cause Deaths are not being kept up to date (along with R99 Deaths as we saw earlier).
Keep this in mind when we challenge other CDC numbers later in this thread. No, they are not above reproach on this. They are making large errors/adjusts.
Keep this in mind when we challenge other CDC numbers later in this thread. No, they are not above reproach on this. They are making large errors/adjusts.
To wit, while all other ICD-10 codes feature a measurable 13 wk lag curve, Cancer only bears a 2 to 3 wk one. A special reporting system, just for cancer!!? No. 🙄
Cancer deaths are being curated starting wk -3. At wk -1, cancer shows the same lag factor as all other ICD codes.
Cancer deaths are being curated starting wk -3. At wk -1, cancer shows the same lag factor as all other ICD codes.
One can see the net effect of this curation, in that the lag of raw #'s (gold dotted line) lasts only 3 wks - & voilà! our final cancer figures arrive at 'week -4'
A MIRACLE!! (Spooky records at a distance)
This obfuscation concerns me even more than mere high death counts.
A MIRACLE!! (Spooky records at a distance)
This obfuscation concerns me even more than mere high death counts.
Finally, the ACM chart shows that, if it were not for Excess Non-Covid Natural Cause deaths right now, our ACM curve would be 9% below its historical trend.
This is AKA 'Pull Forward Effect' - Q.E.D. Don't let it deceive you.
Any analyst not using PFE, is incompetent.
This is AKA 'Pull Forward Effect' - Q.E.D. Don't let it deceive you.
Any analyst not using PFE, is incompetent.
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