Gaurav Srivastava
Gaurav Srivastava

@Gaurav_Cx10

10 Tweets 15 reads Oct 02, 2022
🧵Thread on Gujarat Fluorochemicals (GFL) & Fluorine Chemistry🧵
Excellent analysis by Elara Securities & used it as a base.
Summarizing for the clarity of my thoughts. Out of SRF, Navin and GFL, biased to GFL due to compelling growth story but premium valuations
@MashraniVivek
💡Market Opportunity
-Global fluorochemicals projected to grow CAGR 5.2%
-Fluorine applications market in pharmaceuticals & agrochemicals expected to register a 7.9% CAGR.
-5 years in Pharma and Agri, Global demand growth - USD 1bn for fluorocarbons &~USD 5bn for fluorine
💡End application of Fluoropolymers
-Existing applications: automotive, semiconductors, electrical and electronics
-New high-growth applications: eMobility, clean environment drive, high purity water, 5G data transmission, internet of things, solar PV modules, lithium batteries
💡Growth Drivers
-Fluoropolymers huge growth potential with demand across several green industries EV, solar and hydrogen
-USD 5bn on fluorine molecules demand in pharmaceuticals and agrochemicals
-Battery demand 2030 for EV resulting revenue opportunities of USD 300bn by CY30
💡Key Performing Polymers
1.PVDF
2.PFA
3.FEP
4.FKM
5. PPA
6.Micro powders
GFL is in all the polymers
💡Company Description
Gujarat Fluorochemicals (GFL)
-leading producer of fluoropolymers, fluoro specialty, refrigerants & chemicals in different industries
-Established manufacturer of fluoropolymers & fluoro-specialty markets
-Turnover INR 39.5bn with a PAT of INR 7.8bn in 22
💡Capex
-Capex of INR 20bn during FY23-24
-focused on fluoropolymers & new-age industry verticals like PTFE capacity expansion, battery chemicals & EV fluoropolymer, PVDF films, backward integration of VDC and refrigerant,electrolytes,LIPF6
-Revenue CAGR of 35% over FY22-25
💡Positive Triggers
-Entry barriers are high given: 1) business complexity, 2) limited feedstock availability, and 3) stringent & time-consuming customer approval process
-GFL is setting up India’s first PVDF solar film project
-GFL is setting up an integrated battery chemicals
-Refrigerant: largest manufacturer of R22 and trying to foray into R125complex
-GFL only manufacturer of LIPF6 in India
-For battery chemicals, the company to approach electrolyte manufacturers globally
-Need significant capex in the next few years to ensure robust revenue growth
Risks
- GDP slowdown would hurt chemicals demand growth
-Revival of China’s chemicals industry
-Increased competition from international suppliers,
-Disruptions in supply chains of key raw materials
-Longer-than-expected qualification process time for
new product approval

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