THE SHORT BEAR
THE SHORT BEAR

@TheShortBear

5 Tweets Jan 05, 2023
Declining USD and yields is an extreme back wind for risk assets.
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As long as we see these continue, I am expecting a strong bid in this asset class.
These have been waiting for their green light for months consolidating. I believe we are there now for the time being.
The recession and deceleration usually leads to a fairly small downturn.
It usually starts discounting 12 months before. Once we got the recession we actually see a positive skew.
There is PTSD from 2008 all over Twitter without research in terms of credible data.
I will refer to two different data projects I did here.
Nr.1 What happened historically when the CPI peaked?
Nr.2 What happened when the EPS contracted?
CPI historically reaction and context.
EPS contraction historical background and context

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