Wondering if the ICT YT model (bearish) is forming on the daily chart for index futures.
This will be a nice study regardless if it pans out or not.
This will be a nice study regardless if it pans out or not.
It is December…
I doubt large funds are putting a lot of money at risk right now so close to the end of the year.
I understand why ICT doesn’t trade this month, and then waits until February.
I doubt large funds are putting a lot of money at risk right now so close to the end of the year.
I understand why ICT doesn’t trade this month, and then waits until February.
In January large funds and retail traders all want to rush into the market. Allow smart money to collect the freely given liquidity and show their hand on which draw on liquidity they want to seek.
February and March we are expecting bearish seasonal Tendencies to be set up.
I would like to see the market aggressively trade to a premium, to set up bearish SMT for shorts in Late March , Early April.
I would like to see the market aggressively trade to a premium, to set up bearish SMT for shorts in Late March , Early April.
Understand the “personality” of the time of year, and what month you are trading it.
Spring we look for shorts, Fall we look for longs.
But ONLY after we see SMT occur on the daily.
That is the seasonal high or low during that time.
Spring we look for shorts, Fall we look for longs.
But ONLY after we see SMT occur on the daily.
That is the seasonal high or low during that time.
We can short in the fall, yes.
We can long in the spring, yes.
But the larger expansions take place in the seasonal tendency direction.
So if you are “counter Seasonal Tendency trading”, use half the amount of risk as you would normally.
(Instead of .50% use .25%)
We can long in the spring, yes.
But the larger expansions take place in the seasonal tendency direction.
So if you are “counter Seasonal Tendency trading”, use half the amount of risk as you would normally.
(Instead of .50% use .25%)
The narrative of the daily and weekly charts will allow you to anticipate the Seasonal SMT’s.
“It’s spring and we are in a deep discount, we may need to rally to a short term premium before continuing lower”
When we see the rally and SMT then we look for shorts.
“It’s spring and we are in a deep discount, we may need to rally to a short term premium before continuing lower”
When we see the rally and SMT then we look for shorts.
This is the ATM that prints every year.
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