We begin the MMWR Wk 47 Update with the reminder that, faithfulness to argument, deductive patience, & the ability to detect anomalous signal - these ARE the skills - and not academic heuristic.
To wit, R00-R99 deaths are not lowering. They predict ENCNC Mortality VERY well.
To wit, R00-R99 deaths are not lowering. They predict ENCNC Mortality VERY well.
Accordingly we see, that last week was indeed a holiday-effect in terms of lag. Excess Non-Covid Natural Cause Mortality resumed with a vengeance this week, as predicted by the R00-R99 chart we just observed.
Factor-\/ IFR = 0.19%
Covid IFR = 0.19%
Interesting.
Factor-\/ IFR = 0.19%
Covid IFR = 0.19%
Interesting.
Influenza continues its torrid pace of escalation, confirming the CDC's Surveillance figures.
Notice how, unlike cancer deaths, flu deaths never get curated downward 13 - 32 weeks after being reported. Because they involve less political threat to The Party.
Notice how, unlike cancer deaths, flu deaths never get curated downward 13 - 32 weeks after being reported. Because they involve less political threat to The Party.
Non-Natural Deaths Excess was 1000+ again. This is a pace which is about 2/3rds the current pace of Covid Mortality.
However, sadly this component of the Mandemic will not end for a decade or more.
However, sadly this component of the Mandemic will not end for a decade or more.
Cancer Mortality eased to 7-sigma. But, I think this is merely a holiday-lag/seasonality effect & not necessarily good news. We continue to watch.
Notice that faithfulness in charting over time is far more effective as an approach, than one-shot confirmation bias graphs.
Notice that faithfulness in charting over time is far more effective as an approach, than one-shot confirmation bias graphs.
In summary, we resumed a 13%/3% comp between Excess NCNCM & Excess ACM. You should employ this differential in assessing European ACM charts, which are misleadingly low.
My lag consistently has come in as conservative/effective. Only CDC curating forces the numbers off.
My lag consistently has come in as conservative/effective. Only CDC curating forces the numbers off.
In examining our Tevye Chart, we see a consistent convergence around Jan 15th 2024 as the date when the actions of panicked men officially becomes more deadly than Covid ever pretended to be, even in its most dire quantification.
And finally, when we account for the Federation of State Medical Boards' @TheFSMB murder of 435 K citizens by denying them treatment for blood clotting & endothelial inflammation sequelae
...we are fast encroaching 1M excess deaths attributable to the Mandemic alone (not Covid).
...we are fast encroaching 1M excess deaths attributable to the Mandemic alone (not Covid).
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