We begin MMWR Week 48 Update with not good news. The R00-R99 Abnormal & Clinical Lab findings deaths rose again, and is beginning to push the 23 Apr peak.
This is not good, because it predicts the SADS death trend inside Wonder data.
Gonna be a strange Winter 22 into 23.
This is not good, because it predicts the SADS death trend inside Wonder data.
Gonna be a strange Winter 22 into 23.
Influenza/pneum continues its pre-season surge, and is around 650 deaths higher than historic baseline. You will see this reflected in the % E-ACM and % E-NCNCM chart later.
The debate will be - is this surge the result of immunodeficiency rather than simple flu virus mutation)?
The debate will be - is this surge the result of immunodeficiency rather than simple flu virus mutation)?
We are in a solid decadal effect now with regard to Excess Non Natural Cause Mortality. I was hoping we would not see this rise
...yet here we are.
This category of deaths in younger persons is competing hard with Covid deaths now.
...yet here we are.
This category of deaths in younger persons is competing hard with Covid deaths now.
I am applying every lever of conservancy within reason to this Cancer Mortality curve. 7-sigma nonetheless.
The Wonder data of course showed that 12-sigma is the real number, even two weeks ago.
Two different sources, two different methods. We select for the more conservative.
The Wonder data of course showed that 12-sigma is the real number, even two weeks ago.
Two different sources, two different methods. We select for the more conservative.
Excess Non-Covid Natural Cause Mortality rising higher each week, and at a faster rate each week - commensurate with observed R00-R99 peak.
IFR
Factor-\/ (Excess NCNCM) = .19%
Covid = .19%
Avg Death Age
Factor-\/ = 49
Covid = 82
This is NOT Long Covid, nor Reinfection. 😔
IFR
Factor-\/ (Excess NCNCM) = .19%
Covid = .19%
Avg Death Age
Factor-\/ = 49
Covid = 82
This is NOT Long Covid, nor Reinfection. 😔
Accordingly, the extra flu/pneumonia death surge bumped both %E-ACM and %E-NCNCM up by around 1 pct point each or '650 deaths', as we cited earlier.
Immunocompromise is a sequelae of the vaccine. It remains in the Excess Non-Covid Natural Cause Mortality tally for this reason.
Immunocompromise is a sequelae of the vaccine. It remains in the Excess Non-Covid Natural Cause Mortality tally for this reason.
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