Brad Setser
Brad Setser

@Brad_Setser

4 Tweets Mar 10, 2023
Given how weak domestic demand has been recently -- and how little China has done over time to provide policy support to household income -- it would be helpful if China's incoming economic policy team spelled out how they intend to achieve this (laudable) goal.
One of the many things I liked about the Barcelona, Cascaldi-Garcia, Hoek and Van Leemput paper is that they used the credit impulse as the proxy for China's policy stance --
federalreserve.gov
"a primary tool of China's stabilization policy-encompassing monetary, fiscal, and regulatory policies-is controlling the amount of credit in the economy" --
very true, tis the main way China has historically supported demand.
but not sure the same tactics will work this time
Agree with @EtraAlex by the way -- the Fed paper really is excellent. My compliments to the authors.
federalreserve.gov

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