He made several predictions in his speech:
1. Obama's coming to power can't solve the fundamental contradictions in American society.
2. The influence of G7/8 will decline. The G20 will rise.
1. Obama's coming to power can't solve the fundamental contradictions in American society.
2. The influence of G7/8 will decline. The G20 will rise.
3. The influence of Southeast Asia and India will increase.
4. The US/NATO and Russia will have a fierce conflict over Ukraine. It will not be a cold war, but a war of moderate intensity.
4. The US/NATO and Russia will have a fierce conflict over Ukraine. It will not be a cold war, but a war of moderate intensity.
5. China will face the problem of population reduction and must start to solve it immediately.
6. China's economic development will fundamentally change the international political landscape.
6. China's economic development will fundamentally change the international political landscape.
On the population problem, I don't agree with Professor Jin Canrong very much.
I believe that the development of science and tech will greatly improve productivity and thus offset the negative impact of population reduction.
Finally, a balance will be reached.
I believe that the development of science and tech will greatly improve productivity and thus offset the negative impact of population reduction.
Finally, a balance will be reached.
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