why is north america different to south america?
mainly due to geography but also birth rates and they TYPE of immigration... more below.
A quick thread ๐งต on my research into reflexivity as applied to birth rates, industrialisation and globalised governance
mainly due to geography but also birth rates and they TYPE of immigration... more below.
A quick thread ๐งต on my research into reflexivity as applied to birth rates, industrialisation and globalised governance
1. built infrastructure
2. extracted resource
The north of america, overall significantly shipped over less slaves and indentured labourers than south america.
South America had much much more slavery but a much higher mortality rate.
but also north america...
2. extracted resource
The north of america, overall significantly shipped over less slaves and indentured labourers than south america.
South America had much much more slavery but a much higher mortality rate.
but also north america...
it was the poor from europe that settled there.
in south america, it was the rich who came with labour and slavery to over see it
There is a lot of talk about the world changing again...
which it will
but it will rhyme with history
in south america, it was the rich who came with labour and slavery to over see it
There is a lot of talk about the world changing again...
which it will
but it will rhyme with history
i think this is also happening to africa.
i feel as though africa is failing to build up enough infrastructure to escape external resource extraction.
thus, they will fail to industrialise this century
depending on how population demographics play out.
i feel as though africa is failing to build up enough infrastructure to escape external resource extraction.
thus, they will fail to industrialise this century
depending on how population demographics play out.
birth rates and demographics are in a reflexive relationship with industrialisation.
there is a possible scenario where by...
africa birth rates collapse
AND
they fail to industrialise quick enough to become self sustainable
This is the worst of all worlds scenario
there is a possible scenario where by...
africa birth rates collapse
AND
they fail to industrialise quick enough to become self sustainable
This is the worst of all worlds scenario
we have to remember that african population used to be a 1/3rd of europe
and now it has flipped
the main problem i see with africa, is that it is still under a very similar colonial system
france for instance still controls its colonies via banking
this creates a trap
and now it has flipped
the main problem i see with africa, is that it is still under a very similar colonial system
france for instance still controls its colonies via banking
this creates a trap
one of the reasons why africa has such diversity, is because the continent is very sparse and disconnected and harsh.
these factors will work against it when it comes to industrialisation
industrialisation in my opinion relies on infrastructure
which is factories and roads
these factors will work against it when it comes to industrialisation
industrialisation in my opinion relies on infrastructure
which is factories and roads
if america and by extension NAFTA, bring back domestic manufacturing. away from china. which will take roughly a decade to see the effects of.
it is likely we see another golden age of america. like in the 50s, where america is untouched after ww2 and the rest of the world isnt
it is likely we see another golden age of america. like in the 50s, where america is untouched after ww2 and the rest of the world isnt
this also aligns with the turchin cycles, which predicts by mid century america will reach another boom cycle.
turchin wrote about his model of history and his cycle of empires, in a way called cliodynamics.
it also talks much about elite overproduction
turchin wrote about his model of history and his cycle of empires, in a way called cliodynamics.
it also talks much about elite overproduction
understanding elite overproduction is a key in understanding history, although marx focused probably too much on it, it is useful to understand that those who make the laws, are not often the common people
hierarchy is natural and inborn in biology
hierarchy is natural and inborn in biology
This last couple of decades has seen america, the west produce too many elites, the signs of this are increased blaoted government, interest rate and inflation going crazy, immigration being faster than infrastructure, way too much redtape and bureaucracy.
Ai will disrupt elites more than it will blue collar workers
binmen are not being as disrupted by AI as much as are "artists", people who write for a living or many things that work on a desk
if you dont have a trade. BE AFRAID
software is easier to disrupt...
binmen are not being as disrupted by AI as much as are "artists", people who write for a living or many things that work on a desk
if you dont have a trade. BE AFRAID
software is easier to disrupt...
This is all about to unwind and rapidly zing back.
Ai will help
bringing back manufacturing into america
this is probably the best case scenario for america
because it will REVITALISE the shitty infrastructure of outdated 20th century america.
infrastructure has a half life
Ai will help
bringing back manufacturing into america
this is probably the best case scenario for america
because it will REVITALISE the shitty infrastructure of outdated 20th century america.
infrastructure has a half life
Building new infrastructure with new technologies, like high speed trains, new manufacturing like giga factories, better roads, better houses
We can see the hints of the new world coming to shape
but it will massively improve the economies of North america the most
We can see the hints of the new world coming to shape
but it will massively improve the economies of North america the most
If we add birth rates into the mix, we can see that america has a quite stable birth rate mix compared to the rest of the world.
it is still relatively a pyramid.
read my thread here on the coming future of demographics
it is still relatively a pyramid.
read my thread here on the coming future of demographics
With all this in mind, i think north america, the usa particularly, will continue to be a really good place to have capital. after this upcoming recession.
Canada, i am bearish on.
Mexico, i am less bearish on, but they have a huge problem with the narco terrorism
Canada, i am bearish on.
Mexico, i am less bearish on, but they have a huge problem with the narco terrorism
South America, will continue to have the issues it has, mainly because going back to geography and poor decisions of the governments
argentina for instance and brazil in particular, may even get worse
brazil just elected a communist
south america will still be chaotic
argentina for instance and brazil in particular, may even get worse
brazil just elected a communist
south america will still be chaotic
the problem with south america, like africa, is that its territory is far too extreme, for instance in brazil, most live in the south east cities, the inner and outer land is cut off with mountain like territory as well as huge rainforests
infrastructure is vital for nations
infrastructure is vital for nations
The tldr of this thread is essentially
very quickly i touch upon:
1. bullish case for america to enter another golden age
2. bearish case for africa... against what the WEF says
3. bearish case for south america
very quickly i touch upon:
1. bullish case for america to enter another golden age
2. bearish case for africa... against what the WEF says
3. bearish case for south america
I wrote this thread very quickly, it was mostly a brain dump... will revisit and rewrite one day in a more cogent manner
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1. If you liked RT the tweet below to share this thread with your audience
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