This is my math-based analysis of the Nigeria 2023 election. Tinubu will win the popular vote (10.7 million votes). PDP will win the most states, but come lowest in the votes (8.7m votes). So there will be a run-off election - LP/APC. I will post each state below in the thread.
Abia: PDP - 58,726 votes / APC - 55,133 votes / LP - 504,902 votes.
Adamawa: PDP - 331,343 / APC - 209,851 / LP - 76,227
Akwa Ibom: PDP - 156,460 / APC - 140,170 / LP 382,683
Anambra: PDP - 54,324 / APC - 101,405 / LP - 802,551
Adamawa: PDP - 331,343 / APC - 209,851 / LP - 76,227
Akwa Ibom: PDP - 156,460 / APC - 140,170 / LP 382,683
Anambra: PDP - 54,324 / APC - 101,405 / LP - 802,551
Bauchi: PDP - 438,480 / APC - 224,328 / LP - 32,319
Bayelsa: PDP - 91,707 / APC - 97,753 / LP - 308,376
Benue: PDP - 87,261 / APC - 180,899 / LP - 595,725
Borno: PDP - 256,814 / APC - 392,124 / LP57,990
Cross River: PDP - 36,642, APC - 110,623 / LP - 348,619
Bayelsa: PDP - 91,707 / APC - 97,753 / LP - 308,376
Benue: PDP - 87,261 / APC - 180,899 / LP - 595,725
Borno: PDP - 256,814 / APC - 392,124 / LP57,990
Cross River: PDP - 36,642, APC - 110,623 / LP - 348,619
Delta: PDP - 253,189, APC - 250,864, LP - 917,545
Ebonyi: PDP - 25,895 / APC - 75,097 / LP - 227,879
Edo: PDP - 84,515 / APC - 380,411 / LP - 481,417
Ekiti: PDP - 40,376 / APC - 209,628 / LP - 118,437
Enugu: PDP - 46,742 / APC - 92,907 / LP - 537,785
Ebonyi: PDP - 25,895 / APC - 75,097 / LP - 227,879
Edo: PDP - 84,515 / APC - 380,411 / LP - 481,417
Ekiti: PDP - 40,376 / APC - 209,628 / LP - 118,437
Enugu: PDP - 46,742 / APC - 92,907 / LP - 537,785
FCT: PDP - 209,868 / APC - 181,923 / LP - 204,165
Gombe: PDP - 271,051 / APC - 198,646 / LP - 21,729
Imo: PDP - 61,836 / APC - 118,303 / LP - 525,036
Jigawa: PDP - 267,302 / APC - 233,620 / LP - 1232
Kaduna: PDP - 547,186 / APC - 639,455 / LP - 324,940
Gombe: PDP - 271,051 / APC - 198,646 / LP - 21,729
Imo: PDP - 61,836 / APC - 118,303 / LP - 525,036
Jigawa: PDP - 267,302 / APC - 233,620 / LP - 1232
Kaduna: PDP - 547,186 / APC - 639,455 / LP - 324,940
Kano: PDP + NNPP - 1,087,386 / APC - 792,239 / LP- 122,547
Katsina: PDP - 493,122 / APC - 358,142 / LP - 10,293
Kebbi: PDP - 249,945 / APC - 195,889 / LP - 23,296
Kogi: PDP - 250,587 / APC- 515,646 / LP - 66,055
Kwara: PDP - 177,313 / APC - 563,073 / LP- 104,348
Katsina: PDP - 493,122 / APC - 358,142 / LP - 10,293
Kebbi: PDP - 249,945 / APC - 195,889 / LP - 23,296
Kogi: PDP - 250,587 / APC- 515,646 / LP - 66,055
Kwara: PDP - 177,313 / APC - 563,073 / LP- 104,348
Lagos: PDP - 245,430 / APC - 595,146 / LP - 450,343
Nasarawa: PDP - 264,904 / APC - 239,473 / LP - 189,083
Niger: PDP - 438,447, APC - 514,653, LP - 150,847
Ogun: PDP - 64,584 / APC - 342,961 / LP - 216,021
Ondo: PDP- 95,109 / APC- 452,490 / LP - 259,389
Nasarawa: PDP - 264,904 / APC - 239,473 / LP - 189,083
Niger: PDP - 438,447, APC - 514,653, LP - 150,847
Ogun: PDP - 64,584 / APC - 342,961 / LP - 216,021
Ondo: PDP- 95,109 / APC- 452,490 / LP - 259,389
Osun: PDP - 321,446 / APC - 488,598 / LP- 432,881
Oyo: PDP - 184,182 / APC - 368,364 / LP - 295,276
Plateau: PDP - 266,400 / APC- 199,429 / LP - 261,102
Rivers: PDP - 118,527 / APC - 455,606 / LP- 875,499
Sokoto: PDP - 352,780 / APC - 241,034 / LP - 26,434
Oyo: PDP - 184,182 / APC - 368,364 / LP - 295,276
Plateau: PDP - 266,400 / APC- 199,429 / LP - 261,102
Rivers: PDP - 118,527 / APC - 455,606 / LP- 875,499
Sokoto: PDP - 352,780 / APC - 241,034 / LP - 26,434
Taraba: PDP - 278,627 / APC - 183,564 / LP - 81,471
Yobe: PDP - 267,946 / APC- 174,527 / LP - 230
Zamfara: PDP - 252,433 / APC- 155,223 / LP- 114
Yobe: PDP - 267,946 / APC- 174,527 / LP - 230
Zamfara: PDP - 252,433 / APC- 155,223 / LP- 114
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