Daniel Foubert
Daniel Foubert

@d_foubert

13 Tweets 2 reads Feb 23, 2023
Things are starting to change:
"France still too often makes the mistake of aligning itself with German positions against its old Polish friend."
Brilliant. There are still excellent geopolitical analysts in France! πŸ‡«πŸ‡·
1/13
latribune.fr
According to De Gaulle, "Russia and Germany are natural allies, since together they can dominate Central Europe, which neither could do without the other. A reality that has not really been denied, at least until the war in Ukraine."
2/13
"And in doing so, they marginalize Western Europe, and in particular France, which has always been the victim of the German-Russian entente, especially in 1871 and 1940, the worst disasters in our country's modern history."
3/13
"It is difficult not to see, in the current European game, and specifically since the outbreak of the war in πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦, how much strategic permanency has weighed and progressively brought about, over the last thirty years, dangerous imbalances against which we should be warned."
4/13
"The fall of the USSR and πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ reunification brought back a balance between πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί and πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ, from which a new partnership emerged: through its gas coupling with Russia, Germany obtained a strategic depth that allowed it to establish its domination over the European economy."
5/13
"This economic domination in turn produced a domination on the minds: in France, the elites became fascinated by German strategic choices and did not stop imitating them, regardless of the inadequacy of these choices to French geostrategic specificities."
6/13
"By this ill-advised and clumsy imitation of German power, the French elites wanted to convince themselves that they still governed Europe while France was marginalized, as on the occasion of previous German-Russian rapprochements."
7/13
"The harmful nature of this rapprochement, beyond the disproportionate weight it gave DE in the European economy, and consequently its hegemonic political influence on the EU, was manifested in a way that was as tragic as it was spectacular with the invasion of πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ by RU."
8/13
"Russia no doubt imagined that it now had enough of a hold on the German economy through its dependence on gas to provoke a new division of Eastern Europe to its advantage."
9/13
"By force of events, a Franco-Polish alliance has also emerged in the case of the Leopard II tanks, the shipment of which to Ukraine was, until recently, blocked by Berlin because of the obligation to obtain authorization for re-export."
10/13
"The reorganization of relations within the EU will require a rebalancing of FR's relations in the direction of the Fr-Pl alliance, which is the only one capable of building, between RU and DE, the counterweight necessary to avoid the hegemonic overflows of either country."
11/13
"The restoration and strengthening of the Franco-Polish relationship is the way to restore a balance in Europe. Its first prerequisite is an updating of the image of Poland."
12/13
"This is an outdated vision, which takes into account neither the country's spectacular recovery from communism nor its prospects for power in the European future as it is taking shape."
13/13

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