18 Tweets 27 reads Feb 25, 2023
#Syrma #Kaynes #Dixon #PGEL
#EMS market is set to grow at +30% CAGR for at least next 5 years from โ‚น1,469Bn to โ‚น6,000Bn by FY27.
๐Ÿงต on some spl. business insights from Q3FY23 concall & other sources
@soicfinance @ishmohit1
1 can't miss this decadal opp.
Retweetโ™ป๏ธ & Like๐Ÿ‘
There are 2 models that business generally follow:
1. Low Value High Mix (LVHM) - eg. consumer
2. High Value Low Mix (HVLM) - eg. Industrial
This data suggests both type of businesses are set for long-term high growth.
This is a crowded space with Indian and large MNC players. However, the industry as a whole is set to grow exponentially and established players who can achieve scale & offer wider capabilities stand to win bigger + mgt. are saying they are just scratching the surface ryt now.
Different players & verticals they operate in
#Kaynes Segments, Customers, Products supplied
#Syrma Segments, Key Customers & Products
Some tracking variables for both businesses from Q3 FY23 concall. #Kaynes #Syrma
- ODM (IP/designing is developed in-house) & Exports are higher margin
- Box build - is generally high margins but depends on type & segment
P/E on Screener can be misleading:
#Kaynes guidance based on current order book:
FY23 - Sales 1200 Cr./ PAT 86 Cr. (P/E 62x)
FY24 - Sales 1700 - 1800 Cr. (Fwd P/E 37x E)
Similarly based on the order book one can come up with estimated sales & PAT and TTM P/E for #Syrma.
Your homework (Hint - its cheaper than #Kaynes)
Kaynes may grow faster.
#Kaynes New segment - Clean Energy
1. Hydrogen fuel area for non-automotive purposes.
#Syrma New segment - Clean Energy:
1. EV Charging infrastructure
2. Energy storage
#Kaynes Old Narrative China +1, new narrative "Minus China + One" wah !!!
Very interesting insights on large deals taking place (final discussions) with huge tech transfer and shift from China/Europe.
Even Syrma is adding clients but didn't share such details.
There are several other details that I am not sharing here. Read DRHP & Q3FY23 concall.
This space seems very interesting with long runway, as Syrma mgt says, "this is a huge industry and we have barely even touched the surface of this industry"
"Y2k moment"
Given huge growth๐Ÿƒway, large TAM, 30% CAGR industry level growth, and no barriers 4 est. players to enter new segments -> likely that every player will deliver nos. what may differentiate one is efficiency, WC mgt., Inventory mgt., scale & capabilities, facilities near customer.
One may take a bet on EMS co. or could also consider electronic component proxies like #SBCL #XPROindia. I have been looking at #PGEL since CY21 when #Dixon the Indian's "Universal Champion" & #Amber where flying but its High Debt keeps me away.
Dixon's Moat๐Ÿ‘‡
Sources: DRHPs, Research Reports, Concalls, Investor Presentations.
This should give you an idea of where to look for info. when researching co. DRHP is the sweetest place to understand the Industry. Look for the most recently published DRHP of a co. in that industry.
Discl: Closely tracking/studying #SBCL #XPROINDIA #Kaynes #Syrma, may have a position in some.
#Cyient is another one. Looking fwrd to @soicfinance Sunday video on that biz.
Just to add:
Dixon, Amber, PG Elect WC days & CCC
Theres a stark difference compared to Kaynes & Syrma.
Industry is heavily dependent on electric components imports, not sure how inventory days are kept so low. Commonality, these are all consumer heavy biz. with low CCC.

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