Science Is Strategic
Science Is Strategic

@scienceisstrat1

9 Tweets 14 reads Mar 02, 2023
Demographics is destiny.
China ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ has lost 40 million workers since 2020. And its population is forecast to be cut in half by 2100.
Short ๐Ÿงต below on hugely consequential demographic developments in China. (1/9)
Cc: @Noahpinion @ElbridgeColby @nfergus @PekingMike @balajis
2022 was the first year where Chinese ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ deaths surpassed births (2/9)
Overall, Chinese population fell in 2022 for the first time ever and is forecast to halve by 2100 (3/9)
India ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ overtook China ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ as the worldโ€™s most populous nation in 2022 (4/9)
Incredibly, India ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ is forecast by the UN to be twice the size of China ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ by 2100 (5/9)
The US ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ is also forecast by the UN to have a modestly expanding population reaching 394 million by 2100 (6/9)
Compared to economic competitors like India, China now has a much older population (7/9)
The consequences of the dramatic shifts in Chinese ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ demographics have been discussed by writers such as Niall Ferguson (@nfergus) in the Bloomberg column below (8/9)
bloomberg.com
Finally, if you found this thread to be interesting and useful, consider following me! (9/9)

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