BJP+ : 26-31
MGB : 9-14
In Bihar NDA includes BJP, LJP(RV) , RLJP & by 2024 Upendra Kushwaha’s RLJD might also join hands. MGB should include JDU, RJD, CPM , Congress & possibly even VIP.
On paper looks extremely weak but BJP has good leaders…
Demography -
OBCs : 55%
FCs : 10%
Muslims : 22%
SCs & STs : 13%
Due to high Muslim population this seat will see close contest. Kurmis are present are in good numbers & they will mostly back Congress candidate Tariq Anwar. Winner is likely to be decided by 25,000…
Demography -
Yadavs : 8%
FCs : 21%
Muslims : 17%
SCs : 11%
Others : 43%
Good presence of FCs & history of polarisation makes this seat a safe bet for BJP.
Prediction : BJP Win.
27. Banka
Demography-
FCs : 14%
OBCs : 51%
Muslims : 18%
SCs & STs : 17%…
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