Artificial Intelligence Technology
Bilawal Sidhu
Bilawal Sidhu

@bilawalsidhu

22 tweets 8 reads Apr 02, 2023
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What a week for AI! Not yet scary, but a feeling is in the air. Things are heating up and people are conflicted.
Why are the brightest minds in AI asking for a 6 month pause, while others say it doesn't go far enough? 🀯
Here's why this debate deserves our attention.
🧡 Thread
What a week for AI! Not yet scary, but a feeling is in the air. Things are heating up and people are...
A modicum of relief was bestowed upon us this past week, after a two-week period riddled with launch-after-launch of the most advanced AI capabilities the world has ever seen.
The outcome? Unprecedented AI power to the people πŸ‘‡
A modicum of relief was bestowed upon us this past week, after a two-week period riddled with launch...
But is it too much power? @ESYudkowsky certainly thinks so
To him the letter pushing for a 6 month pause, signed by the likes of @elonmusk @stevewoz @GaryMarcus simply didn't go far enough; even trivialized the issue
Controversial headlines aside, let's dig into his argument πŸ‘‡
But is it too much power? @ESYudkowsky certainly thinks so To him the letter pushing for a 6 month...
To Eliezer, AI is *far* beyond nuclear 🀯
He argues that instead of a paltry 6 month pause, we need an *indefinite* worldwide moratorium on large AI training runs, shutting down large GPU clusters, and imposing limits on the compute used for AI training.
Eliezer's approach is simple:
Strictly regulate and track GPUs and AI hardware.
Gradually lower the ceiling on computing power used for AI training as tech advances.
No exceptions for governments or militaries. Humanity as we know is at stake.
Non-compliance? Airstrikes πŸ‘‡
Eliezer's approach is simple: Strictly regulate and track GPUs and AI hardware. Gradually lower th...
Eliezer's approach is simple: Strictly regulate and track GPUs and AI hardware. Gradually lower th...
Are we moving from the era of bombing caves to bombing data centers?
Truly feels like a sci-fi movie where rogue entities and their GPU clusters are targeted for elimination.
But might there be some credence to these concerns? πŸ˜…
Are we moving from the era of bombing caves to bombing data centers? Truly feels like a sci-fi movi...
The big data era digitized everything, creating both open & closed treasure troves.
Data is the new oil, and with AI, extracting this crude resource is easier than ever.
Wielding this power isn't limited to big tech giants or nation-states. Anyone can use it for good or evil πŸ‘‡
The big data era digitized everything, creating both open & closed treasure troves. Data is the...
People have already shown wild capabilities.
Like this AI artist who geolocated top influencers using Instagram & publicly available camera feeds.
This type of "pattern of life analysis" has been relegated to the intelligence community.
Now imagine adding GPT-4 to the mix πŸ‘‡
People have already shown wild capabilities. Like this AI artist who geolocated top influencers usi...
People have already shown wild capabilities. Like this AI artist who geolocated top influencers usi...
People have already shown wild capabilities. Like this AI artist who geolocated top influencers usi...
People have already shown wild capabilities. Like this AI artist who geolocated top influencers usi...
It's no surprise that OpenAI has been selective about opening up multi-modality.
Sure, we've been able to run detection & tracking algorithms on media.
But combined with the "reasoning" ability of GPT-4 class models e.g. to parse social feeds -- you get big brother in a box πŸ‘‡
Perhaps certain types of models should be more regulated than others?
IMO, image generation has far less downside than general-purpose models like GPT-4, especially when they're multimodal.
The potential for misuse is much higher with models that are of GPT-4's capability:
Perhaps certain types of models should be more regulated than others? IMO, image generation has far...
But it isn't exactly rainbows and sunshine either. VFX and photoshop has always been a thing, but image models enable disinformation at an unfathomable scale.
My explicitly labeled VFX videos fool millions. Now imagine what bad actors will do?
Detecting synthetic media will need to become a continuous patching process, similar to addressing vulnerabilities and zero-day exploits.
Critically, these aren't hypothetical "some day" problems. They're here and now:
Detecting synthetic media will need to become a continuous patching process, similar to addressing v...
To address disinformation, big tech players can act fast, spin up large teams, train discriminators, and play the game of whack-a-mole.
But what will small to medium businesses do?
As bad actors use these tools maliciously in new ways, we may see dire consequences this year.
The AI debate has two extremes: treating it like nuclear, or leaving it open.
Some argue that open-source AI allows good actors to police the bad ones, minimizing the harm.
Further fearing that regulation would lead to a centralized power worse than 1984:
But open diffusion models are one thing. Open source LLMs could enable hackers to create disposable apps & scripts, amplifying potential harm when gaining access to someone's credentials.
This is a more worrisome scenario than democratized deep fakes πŸ‘‡
I'm starting to understand why some might call for a pause in AI development, and others might call it a doomer assessment. Both are valid.
As GPU clusters become more efficient and accessible, it becomes harder to police their usage without extreme surveillance on every device.
I'm starting to understand why some might call for a pause in AI development, and others might call...
Requiring OS-level restrictions to prevent rogue AI creation seems like a dystopian outcome, but the potential downsides of unrestricted AI development are hard to predict. Sounds very 1984 eh?
Requiring OS-level restrictions to prevent rogue AI creation seems like a dystopian outcome, but the...
Of course, vested interests also play a role in AI development.
OpenAI for example, calls for national authorities to scrutinize large training runs.
I wonder who this would impact the most? Might be their biggest competitors -- current or future?
This creates a stock market war-like situation, with companies racing to launch AI products. Ethics teams may be sacrificed in the process, further complicating the situation (e.g. Microsoft)
This creates a stock market war-like situation, with companies racing to launch AI products. Ethics...
Regardless of where you fall on the spectrum of "treat it like open source" to "treat it like nuclear" -- we're entering an era where we need to hold two opposing ideas in our head.
As @LinusEkenstam likes to say - it's ok to be excited & scared simultaneously.
Regardless of where you fall on the spectrum of "treat it like open source" to "treat it like nuclea...
Does the answer lay in the balance? βš–
What's the right level of the stack to enforce AI regulation?
How long until someone makes a principled second amendment style argument for "the right to own GPUs"?
Share your thoughts and let's debate it in this online public square πŸ—½
Does the answer lay in the balance? βš– What's the right level of the stack to enforce AI regulation?...
One last thing -- I spend a non-trivial amount of time creating threads like this. It would really help me out if you:
1. Follow me @bilawalsidhu for more
2. Check out my newsletter: creativetechnologydigest.substack.com
3. Retweet the tweet below to spread the word πŸ‘‡
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