@Tantalite @natashaloder @WashburneAlex @mbalter The double spillover theory is dubious. See comments by Francois Balloux or Jesse Bloom on it. Fundamentally, the early case data is in the words of David Relman "hopelessly impoverished". WHO & Taiwanese CECC consider there were much earlier cases.
@Tantalite @natashaloder @WashburneAlex @mbalter @scotub This fits with anecdotal accounts such as this of school postponements and a flu alert in November regarding a severe influenza. Also, symptoms of athletes who became ill at the Military Games in October.
@Tantalite @natashaloder @WashburneAlex @mbalter @scotub Sudhir Kumar's group used sequences recovered by Jesse Bloom and estimated a single point of emergence in September or early October 2019. academic.oup.com
@Tantalite @natashaloder @WashburneAlex @mbalter @scotub Also, it's not hard to see how a scientist could spread infection. Scientists commute. The Wuhan Institute of Virology was serviced by Line 2 of the Metro System which runs adjacent to the Huanan seafood market. sundayguardianlive.com
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