STAR Boy TARUN
STAR Boy TARUN

@Starboy2079

18 Tweets 219 reads May 13, 2023
Why BJP lost Karnataka (Analysis)
Vote share in 2018
BJP 36.35%
Congress 38.14%
JDS 18.3%
Vote share in 2023
BJP 35.7%
Congress 43.2%
JDS 13.3%
Immediate observation is
1. BJP more or less recieved same votes
2. 5% of JDS vote transferred to Congress
1/18
So entire analysis is based on 2 questions
1. Why BJP cud not increase its vote share after 4 years of governance, Modi's agressive caimpaign and last moment Bajrang Bali issue ?
2. Why 5% of JDS votes transferred to Congress ?
Answers of these questions will tell real reasons
Why BJP cud not increase its vote share ?
Factor A: that reduced BJP's vote
1. Average governance
2. No state level leadership
3. No focus on state issues, no vision
Factor B: that increased BJP votes
1. Modi aggressive caimpaign
2. Last moment hindu issues
Factor A n Factor B neutralized each other n BJP remained near about same voting figures
BJP's state level leadership is becoming big problem for BJP
Except Yogi n Himanta there is no state leader that can fetch vote on their name
Indians love Modi there is no doubt abt it
But in state elections Modi have limitations.
Classic case is Delhi where Kejriwal takes full benefit of it n wins.
He built Sheeshmahal in 2021 but Delhi BJP kept sleeping n cud not know till 2023
Just imagine if they had raised this issue in MCD elections
Same problem in Rajasthan, Hariyana, Chattisgarh, MP, Maharashtra, Bihar, Uttrakhand
Maharashtra n Uttrakhand govt also facing huge muslim appeasement charges
No Mass level leadership in Rajasthan, Chattisgarh and Bihar
Anti incumbency in Hariyana and MP
Now let's come to second question
2. Why 5% of JDS vote transferred to Congress
And answer of this is
1. Congress freebies
2. Muslim strategic voting
Congress offered such freebies that will bankrupt Karnataka but it shifted anti bjp voters from JDS to Congress
This promise of Rs 2000 pocket money to women scheme was started by AAP in Punjab
Then AAP made same promise in Gujarat n Congress in Himachal
But neither Congress nor AAP fulfilled it n nor Karnataka women will get it
It's complete cheating with voters and sud be stopped
Another thing that happened this time in Karnataka is Muslim voted one sided to Congress
Earlier Muslim used to JDS in good number
But this time they neither voted to JDS nor to SDPI, AIMIM
They just wanted to vote to any party that cud defeat BJP
Congress ban on bagrang dal
was masterstrock
Other side BJP kept appeasing Muslim on name of Sabka saath sabka vikas and Pasmanda
BJP assumed that
They can get muslim votes by welfare schemes
And by dividing them in Ashraf and Pasmanda
But Muslim r very intelligent voter n vote only on name of Kaum
They kept taking all benefits for BJP but didn't vote them
BJP must learn now that Muslim will never vote them n they will always lose on pitch of secularism
Congress threw googly ball of ban on Bajrang dal, muslim reservation, remove anti con law n got all votes of muslims
So BJP lost elections due to
1. Average governance of state govt
2. No state level issue n leadership
3. Congress freebies
4. Muslim appeasement and going away from Hindu issues
This is not
- defeat of Modi, even BJP got 2-3% at last moment due to him in Bangalore region
And costal Karnataka
- this is not even defeat of BJP, it's victory of Congress freebies and muslim polarization
- Polarization do happened but by muslim n in favour of Congress but reverse polarisation cud not happen due to ideology shift of BJP
It will be wrong to blame Hindus to not polarise in favour of BJP
Two reasons
1. Hindu polarised in favour of BJP in 2014 n 2019 but BJP shifted it's ideology from hindutva to sabka saath sabka vishwas
Check this πŸ‘‡
In Karnataka BJP promised for temple freedom but they didn't fulfill
In their 2019 manifesto they promised CAA, NRC, UCC but didn't fulfill any
They didn't bring hindu education system n change history books
Wokeness in school books, University n media even increased 10 times
They threw Nupur Sharma, Raja Singh out from party for thei anti mslm remarks but Congress, TMC, SP, RJD never took any action on their leader who made anti hindu statement n stood for Mslm
Hindu will never vote on religion like muslim until there is emotional wave n reason is..
Hindu is completely uprooted from its religion
Muslim have madrasa, Christian have convent school but Hindu education is banned in school due to article 28 n 30
Temple r under govt control they can't run school
Then how a hindu will become hindu
N then caste based reservation
Suggestions:
βœ“BJP sud start working on developing state level leadership coz one day Modi have to retire
βœ“Need to strengthen social media team
βœ“Stop sabka saath sabka vikas now
βœ“Work on core hindu issues n strengthen hindu samaj
18/18

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