@ScienceBlog3 @BenKoby1911 @S_Metzeler @Anvndarnamn5 @Devonian1342 @SpiruSensei @Zane1968 @Hji45519156 @AndreGrossza @Data79504085 @Willard1951 @ammocrypta @Climatehope2 @AristotleMrs @DenisDaly @InspirallPE @ChrisBBacon3 @C_R_O_M________ @priscian @3GHtweets @PvtMcAuslan @EdwardRiffle @Veritatem2021 @AuroriaEn @Michael_D_Crow @JusticeTrudeau @Mark_A_Lunn @judgementalbe1 @Coleski14 @wallytoms0 @LesserMegadeath @WernerReinhard5 @S_D_Mannix @JimBlack48 @Jaisans @CarrudoDon @LiveLifeBK24 @TheDisproof @Joeyd87745119 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @JaapTitulaer @wjack76995 @Rocky35418823 @NobaconEgbert @balls95652097 @NASA 1/9γBen, you're right that land use change "emissions" (from clearing forests, draining bogs, etc.) are very poorly constrained. But they are known to be tiny compared to emissions from fossil fuels.
sealevel.info
sealevel.info
@ScienceBlog3 @BenKoby1911 @S_Metzeler @Anvndarnamn5 @Devonian1342 @SpiruSensei @Zane1968 @Hji45519156 @AndreGrossza @Data79504085 @Willard1951 @ammocrypta @Climatehope2 @AristotleMrs @DenisDaly @InspirallPE @ChrisBBacon3 @C_R_O_M________ @priscian @3GHtweets @PvtMcAuslan @EdwardRiffle @Veritatem2021 @AuroriaEn @Michael_D_Crow @JusticeTrudeau @Mark_A_Lunn @judgementalbe1 @Coleski14 @wallytoms0 @LesserMegadeath @WernerReinhard5 @S_D_Mannix @JimBlack48 @Jaisans @CarrudoDon @LiveLifeBK24 @TheDisproof @Joeyd87745119 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @JaapTitulaer @wjack76995 @Rocky35418823 @NobaconEgbert @balls95652097 @NASA 2/9γWowbagger's numbers are about right for current CO2 fluxes, but he is dead wrong in his belief that "man made [CO2] ACCUMULATES year by year."
CO2 doesn't just accumulate in the atmosphere. Nature is rapidly removing CO2 from the air, moving it to other carbon reservoirs.
CO2 doesn't just accumulate in the atmosphere. Nature is rapidly removing CO2 from the air, moving it to other carbon reservoirs.
@ScienceBlog3 @BenKoby1911 @S_Metzeler @Anvndarnamn5 @Devonian1342 @SpiruSensei @Zane1968 @Hji45519156 @AndreGrossza @Data79504085 @Willard1951 @ammocrypta @Climatehope2 @AristotleMrs @DenisDaly @InspirallPE @ChrisBBacon3 @C_R_O_M________ @priscian @3GHtweets @PvtMcAuslan @EdwardRiffle @Veritatem2021 @AuroriaEn @Michael_D_Crow @JusticeTrudeau @Mark_A_Lunn @judgementalbe1 @Coleski14 @wallytoms0 @LesserMegadeath @WernerReinhard5 @S_D_Mannix @JimBlack48 @Jaisans @CarrudoDon @LiveLifeBK24 @TheDisproof @Joeyd87745119 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @JaapTitulaer @wjack76995 @Rocky35418823 @NobaconEgbert @balls95652097 @NASA 3/9γThe only reason the CO2 level is nevertheless rising instead of falling is that we're adding CO2 to the air even faster than nature is removing it.
But it's becoming harder and harder to keep up with natural CO2 removals, because they're rapidly accelerating.
But it's becoming harder and harder to keep up with natural CO2 removals, because they're rapidly accelerating.
@ScienceBlog3 @BenKoby1911 @S_Metzeler @Anvndarnamn5 @Devonian1342 @SpiruSensei @Zane1968 @Hji45519156 @AndreGrossza @Data79504085 @Willard1951 @ammocrypta @Climatehope2 @AristotleMrs @DenisDaly @InspirallPE @ChrisBBacon3 @C_R_O_M________ @priscian @3GHtweets @PvtMcAuslan @EdwardRiffle @Veritatem2021 @AuroriaEn @Michael_D_Crow @JusticeTrudeau @Mark_A_Lunn @judgementalbe1 @Coleski14 @wallytoms0 @LesserMegadeath @WernerReinhard5 @S_D_Mannix @JimBlack48 @Jaisans @CarrudoDon @LiveLifeBK24 @TheDisproof @Joeyd87745119 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @JaapTitulaer @wjack76995 @Rocky35418823 @NobaconEgbert @balls95652097 @NASA 4/9γThis is an excerpt from AR6 WG1 Table 5.1, showing how the removals are accelerating:
sealevel.info
(Note: 1 PgC = 0.46962 ppmv = 3.66419 Gt CO2.)
sealevel.info
(Note: 1 PgC = 0.46962 ppmv = 3.66419 Gt CO2.)
@ScienceBlog3 @BenKoby1911 @S_Metzeler @Anvndarnamn5 @Devonian1342 @SpiruSensei @Zane1968 @Hji45519156 @AndreGrossza @Data79504085 @Willard1951 @ammocrypta @Climatehope2 @AristotleMrs @DenisDaly @InspirallPE @ChrisBBacon3 @C_R_O_M________ @priscian @3GHtweets @PvtMcAuslan @EdwardRiffle @Veritatem2021 @AuroriaEn @Michael_D_Crow @JusticeTrudeau @Mark_A_Lunn @judgementalbe1 @Coleski14 @wallytoms0 @LesserMegadeath @WernerReinhard5 @S_D_Mannix @JimBlack48 @Jaisans @CarrudoDon @LiveLifeBK24 @TheDisproof @Joeyd87745119 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @JaapTitulaer @wjack76995 @Rocky35418823 @NobaconEgbert @balls95652097 @NASA 5/9γAt the current 420 ppmv (i.e., 140 ppmv above a 280 ppmv baseline), negative feedbacks already remove an average of about 5.5 PgC per year (about 2.6 ppmv), and for each 20-25 ppmv increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration those removals accelerate by another 1 PgC/year.
@ScienceBlog3 @BenKoby1911 @S_Metzeler @Anvndarnamn5 @Devonian1342 @SpiruSensei @Zane1968 @Hji45519156 @AndreGrossza @Data79504085 @Willard1951 @ammocrypta @Climatehope2 @AristotleMrs @DenisDaly @InspirallPE @ChrisBBacon3 @C_R_O_M________ @priscian @3GHtweets @PvtMcAuslan @EdwardRiffle @Veritatem2021 @AuroriaEn @Michael_D_Crow @JusticeTrudeau @Mark_A_Lunn @judgementalbe1 @Coleski14 @wallytoms0 @LesserMegadeath @WernerReinhard5 @S_D_Mannix @JimBlack48 @Jaisans @CarrudoDon @LiveLifeBK24 @TheDisproof @Joeyd87745119 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @JaapTitulaer @wjack76995 @Rocky35418823 @NobaconEgbert @balls95652097 @NASA 6/9γWith our current emission rate, the CO2 level is only rising by about 5.1 PgC/year (2.4 ppmv). So it won't take much of a CO2 level increase before natural removals catch up with our current emission rate: just (20 to 25 ppmv/PgC) Γ 5.1 PgC = (102 to 128) ppmv.
@ScienceBlog3 @BenKoby1911 @S_Metzeler @Anvndarnamn5 @Devonian1342 @SpiruSensei @Zane1968 @Hji45519156 @AndreGrossza @Data79504085 @Willard1951 @ammocrypta @Climatehope2 @AristotleMrs @DenisDaly @InspirallPE @ChrisBBacon3 @C_R_O_M________ @priscian @3GHtweets @PvtMcAuslan @EdwardRiffle @Veritatem2021 @AuroriaEn @Michael_D_Crow @JusticeTrudeau @Mark_A_Lunn @judgementalbe1 @Coleski14 @wallytoms0 @LesserMegadeath @WernerReinhard5 @S_D_Mannix @JimBlack48 @Jaisans @CarrudoDon @LiveLifeBK24 @TheDisproof @Joeyd87745119 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @JaapTitulaer @wjack76995 @Rocky35418823 @NobaconEgbert @balls95652097 @NASA 7/9γ420 + (102 to 128) = 522 to 548 ppmv. That's the "plateau level" beyond which the CO2 level cannot rise, unless emissions accelerate further. If we were to continue our current emission rate indefinitely (or until the coal runs out), we'd still not quite reach 560 ppmv.
@ScienceBlog3 @BenKoby1911 @S_Metzeler @Anvndarnamn5 @Devonian1342 @SpiruSensei @Zane1968 @Hji45519156 @AndreGrossza @Data79504085 @Willard1951 @ammocrypta @Climatehope2 @AristotleMrs @DenisDaly @InspirallPE @ChrisBBacon3 @C_R_O_M________ @priscian @3GHtweets @PvtMcAuslan @EdwardRiffle @Veritatem2021 @AuroriaEn @Michael_D_Crow @JusticeTrudeau @Mark_A_Lunn @judgementalbe1 @Coleski14 @wallytoms0 @LesserMegadeath @WernerReinhard5 @S_D_Mannix @JimBlack48 @Jaisans @CarrudoDon @LiveLifeBK24 @TheDisproof @Joeyd87745119 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @JaapTitulaer @wjack76995 @Rocky35418823 @NobaconEgbert @balls95652097 @NASA 8/9γA level of 536 would be just (536-420)/420 = 28% of 1 doubling. If ECS is 1.8Β°C (as measurements suggest), that 420 β 536 ppmv change would cause only about 0.6Β°C additional warming, which is negligible.
google.com
google.com
@ScienceBlog3 @BenKoby1911 @S_Metzeler @Anvndarnamn5 @Devonian1342 @SpiruSensei @Zane1968 @Hji45519156 @AndreGrossza @Data79504085 @Willard1951 @ammocrypta @Climatehope2 @AristotleMrs @DenisDaly @InspirallPE @ChrisBBacon3 @C_R_O_M________ @priscian @3GHtweets @PvtMcAuslan @EdwardRiffle @Veritatem2021 @AuroriaEn @Michael_D_Crow @JusticeTrudeau @Mark_A_Lunn @judgementalbe1 @Coleski14 @wallytoms0 @LesserMegadeath @WernerReinhard5 @S_D_Mannix @JimBlack48 @Jaisans @CarrudoDon @LiveLifeBK24 @TheDisproof @Joeyd87745119 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @JaapTitulaer @wjack76995 @Rocky35418823 @NobaconEgbert @balls95652097 @NASA 9/9γ0.6Β°C is about the climate change you get from an elevation change of 92 meters.
google.com
Or a latitude change of about 35-40 miles.
Or a spring planting date adjustment of about 3-4 days.
sealevel.info
sealevel.info
It is negligible.
google.com
Or a latitude change of about 35-40 miles.
Or a spring planting date adjustment of about 3-4 days.
sealevel.info
sealevel.info
It is negligible.
@ScienceBlog3 @BenKoby1911 @S_Metzeler @Anvndarnamn5 @Devonian1342 @SpiruSensei @Zane1968 @Hji45519156 @AndreGrossza @Data79504085 @Willard1951 @ammocrypta @Climatehope2 @AristotleMrs @DenisDaly @InspirallPE @ChrisBBacon3 @C_R_O_M________ @priscian @3GHtweets @PvtMcAuslan @EdwardRiffle @Veritatem2021 @AuroriaEn @Michael_D_Crow @JusticeTrudeau @Mark_A_Lunn @judgementalbe1 @Coleski14 @wallytoms0 @LesserMegadeath @WernerReinhard5 @S_D_Mannix @JimBlack48 @Jaisans @CarrudoDon @LiveLifeBK24 @TheDisproof @Joeyd87745119 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @JaapTitulaer @wjack76995 @Rocky35418823 @NobaconEgbert @balls95652097 @NASA ThreadDotBlue (twitter-thread.com) compilation:
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