@BenKoby1911 @SpiruSensei @ScienceBlog3 @ammocrypta @Data79504085 @DenisDaly @WernerReinhard5 @controscience @Willard1951 @Michael_D_Crow @Nockit1 @Fynnderella1 @SapientHetero @Veritatem2021 @ChrisBBacon3 @C_R_O_M________ @emilio97493490 @balls95652097 @S_D_Mannix @Devonian1342 @AndreGrossza @InspirallPE @Climatehope2 @S_Metzeler @priscian @3GHtweets @Anvndarnamn5 @PvtMcAuslan @EdwardRiffle @AuroriaEn @JusticeTrudeau @Mark_A_Lunn @judgementalbe1 @AristotleMrs @Coleski14 @wallytoms0 @LesserMegadeath @JimBlack48 @Jaisans @CarrudoDon @LiveLifeBK24 @TheDisproof @Joeyd87745119 @Hji45519156 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @antonioguterres 1/9 That Inman paper is, indeed, rubbish, but not because we know too little about the carbon cycle. It's because the practical "first half-life" of anthropogenic CO2 is only about 35 years. That means the "adjustment time" π» = 35/ln(2) β
50 years.
@BenKoby1911 @SpiruSensei @ScienceBlog3 @ammocrypta @Data79504085 @DenisDaly @WernerReinhard5 @controscience @Willard1951 @Michael_D_Crow @Nockit1 @Fynnderella1 @SapientHetero @Veritatem2021 @ChrisBBacon3 @C_R_O_M________ @emilio97493490 @balls95652097 @S_D_Mannix @Devonian1342 @AndreGrossza @InspirallPE @Climatehope2 @S_Metzeler @priscian @3GHtweets @Anvndarnamn5 @PvtMcAuslan @EdwardRiffle @AuroriaEn @JusticeTrudeau @Mark_A_Lunn @judgementalbe1 @AristotleMrs @Coleski14 @wallytoms0 @LesserMegadeath @JimBlack48 @Jaisans @CarrudoDon @LiveLifeBK24 @TheDisproof @Joeyd87745119 @Hji45519156 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @antonioguterres 2/9. I discussed this topic in more depth in this comment, on WUWT:
A. #comment-3495301" target="_blank" rel="noopener" onclick="event.stopPropagation()">wattsupwiththat.com
and also in this pair of comments, on Dr. Curry's blog:
B. #comment-960901" target="_blank" rel="noopener" onclick="event.stopPropagation()">judithcurry.com
C. #comment-960902" target="_blank" rel="noopener" onclick="event.stopPropagation()">judithcurry.com
.
A. #comment-3495301" target="_blank" rel="noopener" onclick="event.stopPropagation()">wattsupwiththat.com
and also in this pair of comments, on Dr. Curry's blog:
B. #comment-960901" target="_blank" rel="noopener" onclick="event.stopPropagation()">judithcurry.com
C. #comment-960902" target="_blank" rel="noopener" onclick="event.stopPropagation()">judithcurry.com
.
wattsupwiththat.com/2022/04/09/expβ¦
Explaining Mauna Loa CO2 Increases with Anthropogenic and Natural Influences β’ Watts Up With That?
Iβm mostly trying to show how difficult it is to determine cause-and-effect from the available stati...
judithcurry.com/2021/10/06/ipcβ¦
IPCC AR6: Breaking the hegemony of global climate models
by Judith Curry A rather astonishing conclusion drawn from reading the fine print of the IPCC AR6 WG...
judithcurry.com/2021/10/06/ipcβ¦
IPCC AR6: Breaking the hegemony of global climate models
by Judith Curry A rather astonishing conclusion drawn from reading the fine print of the IPCC AR6 WG...
@BenKoby1911 @SpiruSensei @ScienceBlog3 @ammocrypta @Data79504085 @DenisDaly @WernerReinhard5 @controscience @Willard1951 @Michael_D_Crow @Nockit1 @Fynnderella1 @SapientHetero @Veritatem2021 @ChrisBBacon3 @C_R_O_M________ @emilio97493490 @balls95652097 @S_D_Mannix @Devonian1342 @AndreGrossza @InspirallPE @Climatehope2 @S_Metzeler @priscian @3GHtweets @Anvndarnamn5 @PvtMcAuslan @EdwardRiffle @AuroriaEn @JusticeTrudeau @Mark_A_Lunn @judgementalbe1 @AristotleMrs @Coleski14 @wallytoms0 @LesserMegadeath @JimBlack48 @Jaisans @CarrudoDon @LiveLifeBK24 @TheDisproof @Joeyd87745119 @Hji45519156 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @antonioguterres 3/9. The "first half-life" of β35 years means that if our CO2 emissions suddenly ceased, it would take about 35 years for the CO2 level to decline halfway toward 290 ppmv (i.e., to β355 ppmv), and about 50 years for the CO2 level to decline 63% of the way toward 290 ppmv.
@BenKoby1911 @SpiruSensei @ScienceBlog3 @ammocrypta @Data79504085 @DenisDaly @WernerReinhard5 @controscience @Willard1951 @Michael_D_Crow @Nockit1 @Fynnderella1 @SapientHetero @Veritatem2021 @ChrisBBacon3 @C_R_O_M________ @emilio97493490 @balls95652097 @S_D_Mannix @Devonian1342 @AndreGrossza @InspirallPE @Climatehope2 @S_Metzeler @priscian @3GHtweets @Anvndarnamn5 @PvtMcAuslan @EdwardRiffle @AuroriaEn @JusticeTrudeau @Mark_A_Lunn @judgementalbe1 @AristotleMrs @Coleski14 @wallytoms0 @LesserMegadeath @JimBlack48 @Jaisans @CarrudoDon @LiveLifeBK24 @TheDisproof @Joeyd87745119 @Hji45519156 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @antonioguterres 4/9. That's the result Prof. Richard Lindzen reported during the Q&A (3rd video) of this excellent lecture:
β Part 1:
youtube.com
β Part 2:
youtube.com
β Part 3 (Q&A):
youtube.com (including discussion of CO2 atmospheric lifetime)
β Part 1:
youtube.com
β Part 2:
youtube.com
β Part 3 (Q&A):
youtube.com (including discussion of CO2 atmospheric lifetime)
@BenKoby1911 @SpiruSensei @ScienceBlog3 @ammocrypta @Data79504085 @DenisDaly @WernerReinhard5 @controscience @Willard1951 @Michael_D_Crow @Nockit1 @Fynnderella1 @SapientHetero @Veritatem2021 @ChrisBBacon3 @C_R_O_M________ @emilio97493490 @balls95652097 @S_D_Mannix @Devonian1342 @AndreGrossza @InspirallPE @Climatehope2 @S_Metzeler @priscian @3GHtweets @Anvndarnamn5 @PvtMcAuslan @EdwardRiffle @AuroriaEn @JusticeTrudeau @Mark_A_Lunn @judgementalbe1 @AristotleMrs @Coleski14 @wallytoms0 @LesserMegadeath @JimBlack48 @Jaisans @CarrudoDon @LiveLifeBK24 @TheDisproof @Joeyd87745119 @Hji45519156 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @antonioguterres 5/9. That's also the approximate result that Dr. Roy Spencer found:
drroyspencer.com
drroyspencer.com
@BenKoby1911 @SpiruSensei @ScienceBlog3 @ammocrypta @Data79504085 @DenisDaly @WernerReinhard5 @controscience @Willard1951 @Michael_D_Crow @Nockit1 @Fynnderella1 @SapientHetero @Veritatem2021 @ChrisBBacon3 @C_R_O_M________ @emilio97493490 @balls95652097 @S_D_Mannix @Devonian1342 @AndreGrossza @InspirallPE @Climatehope2 @S_Metzeler @priscian @3GHtweets @Anvndarnamn5 @PvtMcAuslan @EdwardRiffle @AuroriaEn @JusticeTrudeau @Mark_A_Lunn @judgementalbe1 @AristotleMrs @Coleski14 @wallytoms0 @LesserMegadeath @JimBlack48 @Jaisans @CarrudoDon @LiveLifeBK24 @TheDisproof @Joeyd87745119 @Hji45519156 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @antonioguterres 6/9. That's also the approximate result that I got, first with a program to simulate CO2 levels, based on the historical CO2 removal rate as a function of CO2 level, and then with a modified version based on Dr. Spencer's model. Here's the source code:
sealevel.info
sealevel.info
@BenKoby1911 @SpiruSensei @ScienceBlog3 @ammocrypta @Data79504085 @DenisDaly @WernerReinhard5 @controscience @Willard1951 @Michael_D_Crow @Nockit1 @Fynnderella1 @SapientHetero @Veritatem2021 @ChrisBBacon3 @C_R_O_M________ @emilio97493490 @balls95652097 @S_D_Mannix @Devonian1342 @AndreGrossza @InspirallPE @Climatehope2 @S_Metzeler @priscian @3GHtweets @Anvndarnamn5 @PvtMcAuslan @EdwardRiffle @AuroriaEn @JusticeTrudeau @Mark_A_Lunn @judgementalbe1 @AristotleMrs @Coleski14 @wallytoms0 @LesserMegadeath @JimBlack48 @Jaisans @CarrudoDon @LiveLifeBK24 @TheDisproof @Joeyd87745119 @Hji45519156 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @antonioguterres 7/9. Ferdinand Engelbeen reported roughly the same result. He also wrote the clearest and most thorough examination of the cause of rising CO2 concentrations which I've found, here:
ferdinand-engelbeen.be
ferdinand-engelbeen.be
@BenKoby1911 @SpiruSensei @ScienceBlog3 @ammocrypta @Data79504085 @DenisDaly @WernerReinhard5 @controscience @Willard1951 @Michael_D_Crow @Nockit1 @Fynnderella1 @SapientHetero @Veritatem2021 @ChrisBBacon3 @C_R_O_M________ @emilio97493490 @balls95652097 @S_D_Mannix @Devonian1342 @AndreGrossza @InspirallPE @Climatehope2 @S_Metzeler @priscian @3GHtweets @Anvndarnamn5 @PvtMcAuslan @EdwardRiffle @AuroriaEn @JusticeTrudeau @Mark_A_Lunn @judgementalbe1 @AristotleMrs @Coleski14 @wallytoms0 @LesserMegadeath @JimBlack48 @Jaisans @CarrudoDon @LiveLifeBK24 @TheDisproof @Joeyd87745119 @Hji45519156 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @antonioguterres 8/9. What Inman called "fallout from burning fossil fuels" is actually beneficial!
Climate activists often claim that anthropogenic CO2 has a residence time of "centuries," or even longer. But such claims are based on integrating the "long tail" of its theoretical decay curve.
Climate activists often claim that anthropogenic CO2 has a residence time of "centuries," or even longer. But such claims are based on integrating the "long tail" of its theoretical decay curve.
@BenKoby1911 @SpiruSensei @ScienceBlog3 @ammocrypta @Data79504085 @DenisDaly @WernerReinhard5 @controscience @Willard1951 @Michael_D_Crow @Nockit1 @Fynnderella1 @SapientHetero @Veritatem2021 @ChrisBBacon3 @C_R_O_M________ @emilio97493490 @balls95652097 @S_D_Mannix @Devonian1342 @AndreGrossza @InspirallPE @Climatehope2 @S_Metzeler @priscian @3GHtweets @Anvndarnamn5 @PvtMcAuslan @EdwardRiffle @AuroriaEn @JusticeTrudeau @Mark_A_Lunn @judgementalbe1 @AristotleMrs @Coleski14 @wallytoms0 @LesserMegadeath @JimBlack48 @Jaisans @CarrudoDon @LiveLifeBK24 @TheDisproof @Joeyd87745119 @Hji45519156 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @antonioguterres 9/9. Integrating the "long tail" is silly, because the long tail would only be relevant if CO2 levels were β€ 340 ppmv β in which case the Earth would be suffering from a very severe CO2 deficit. The long tail would just slow the worsening of that deficit.
@BenKoby1911 @SpiruSensei @ScienceBlog3 @ammocrypta @Data79504085 @DenisDaly @WernerReinhard5 @controscience @Willard1951 @Michael_D_Crow @Nockit1 @Fynnderella1 @SapientHetero @Veritatem2021 @ChrisBBacon3 @C_R_O_M________ @emilio97493490 @balls95652097 @S_D_Mannix @Devonian1342 @AndreGrossza @InspirallPE @Climatehope2 @S_Metzeler @priscian @3GHtweets @Anvndarnamn5 @PvtMcAuslan @EdwardRiffle @AuroriaEn @JusticeTrudeau @Mark_A_Lunn @judgementalbe1 @AristotleMrs @Coleski14 @wallytoms0 @LesserMegadeath @JimBlack48 @Jaisans @CarrudoDon @LiveLifeBK24 @TheDisproof @Joeyd87745119 @Hji45519156 @waxliberty @SuperFoxyLoxy @antonioguterres ThreadDotBlue / twitter-thread.com Compilation:
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