Zhao DaShuai 东北进修🇨🇳
Zhao DaShuai 东北进修🇨🇳

@zhao_dashuai

8 Tweets 33 reads Sep 13, 2023
🧵What's the purpose of India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor?
China's Belt and Road Initiative were set up to:
🔸Export some of our excess capacity in construction
🔸By pass the Malacca Strait, which the US controls, for now.
India has none of these concerns or needs
1/7
🔸Logically, this project makes no sense:
The capabilities of Indian and US in building infrastructure aside.
Why can't India just use the existing Suez Canal and the MUCH cheaper sea transport?
You don't even need to build anything.
Why do you have to switch to rail?
China needed to export some of our constructure capacities, because our railways are already the best in the world, so we export that capacity through BRI projects.
Are Indian & US railways so good, and their capacity so huge, that they need to build it in the middle East?
🔸Financially this project makes no sense
As Modi uses "green screens" to hide the poor people of Delhi, he wants to build a "Spice Road" to Europe.
To sell what?
What's the daily TEU capacity of Indian ports?
Does it justify a rail-link through the deserts of the Middle East?
🔸Technologically, this project makes no sense:
Desert railways are are some of the hardest type of railways to build.
You need the entire thing built on elevated rail tracks, with supports drilled deep into the harder bedrocks, through thick and shifting sand.
If you don't have enough technical knowhow, specialists/ equipment and efficiency, the cost can sky rocket astronomically.
The US can't even build a high speed rail in California, you think they can do it in Saudi Arabia?
🔸Politically, this project makes no sense
Biden may lose the 2024 election.
I'm pretty sure the budget conservative Republicans, who are already opposed to financing Ukraine, isn't going to finance this "Economic Corridor"
This thing makes 0 sense no matter how you look at it
After the US pulls out, India will be the only country in this "economic corridor" disconnected from the rest.
Which leaves Saudi Arabia and UAE in the driving seat for the construction portion.
Have a guess which country they're going to award the construction contracts to.

Loading suggestions...