1/ Attack by Hamas today is not accidental, rather a deliberate strategy by Iranians to scuttle rapprochement between Sunni coalition led by Saudis and Israel.
As expected, Israel will come down heavily against Hamas & Palestinians, beginning a new cycle of violence [contd]
As expected, Israel will come down heavily against Hamas & Palestinians, beginning a new cycle of violence [contd]
2/ making it near impossible for Saudis to strike deal with Israel without becoming extremely unpopular in the region.
But why Iran wants to scuttle peace between Saudis & Israel?
Because peace deal with Israel would mean Saudis bargaining a NATO type partnership [contd]
But why Iran wants to scuttle peace between Saudis & Israel?
Because peace deal with Israel would mean Saudis bargaining a NATO type partnership [contd]
3/ with U.S. thus securing Saudi ruling family's security from two pronged existential threat - one, islamic extremism. two, Iranian regime.
Given the unprecedented scale of attacks by Hamas and failure of Netanyahu govt to prevent, Israel will end up avenging [contd]
Given the unprecedented scale of attacks by Hamas and failure of Netanyahu govt to prevent, Israel will end up avenging [contd]
4/ the attacks disproportionately (something Iranians are banking on).
At grave human cost, Iran has played a very deadly game because in war once you roll the dice, nothing goes per plan. [contd]
At grave human cost, Iran has played a very deadly game because in war once you roll the dice, nothing goes per plan. [contd]
5/ The fire that Iranian mullah regime lit today will engulf them soon. In my opinion, Israel will read the room right and would go after the Iranian regime. Middle East will become a new theatre for great game between West-Israel vs Iran-China-Russia axis.
Shalom.
Shalom.
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