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2 Tweets 4 reads Jan 05, 2024
We might get TWO BULL RUNS.
TLDR
👽 This Bull could get overheated in a few months
👽 End of the FED rate pause
👽 GIANT CRASH in 6 months forcing out dumb money out of their position
👽 The most insane money printing humanity has ever witnessed, dwarfing COVID in terms of volume and speed
👽 Death of FIAT and the Middle Class
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The first Bull Run has been triggered by Blackrock's move to file for a spot ETF.
That was an obvious signal that spot ETFs time has come, and they will be approved within a year.
$25K was the bear trap.
We're currently shifting from the Media Attention phase to the Enthusiasm phase, setting the stage for Greed and, eventually, Euphoria.
The Euphoria phase is anticipated to peak between $61K-$87K.
Post-Euphoria, we can expect a dramatic Federal Reserve response to the ripple effects of the most aggressive Rate Hike Cycle we have had in 50+ years, likely leading to a steep stock market crash.
However, the Fed's toolkit is now more robust than ever, potentially enabling a faster recovery than even the rapid bounce-back seen during the COVID crash.
Looking at the broader economic landscape for 2024, it's shaping to be a year of high volatility and rapid changes.
Key trends and predictions:
▫️ Market Trend: Falling majority of stocks and rising oil prices hint at an impending recession.
▫️ Fed Response: Rapid action in crises, notably dropping the Fed funds rate to zero in 2020.
▫️ Central Banks: Increased reactivity, potentially leading to faster, more intense market fluctuations.
▫️ Upcoming Market Crash: A severe crash is expected within 6 months, surpassing past downturns in speed and intensity.
THIS IS WHERE TOURISTS WILL LOSE ALL THEIR RISK ASSETS.
Overleveraged and late-coming market participants will experience a huge crash, leading to smart money buying up everything during the crash.
▫️ Suggested to maintain cash reserves and use financial hedges
▫️ Long-term higher inflation is expected
▫️ Central Banks' providing liquidity support to smaller banks for crisis management
Comparing previous crashes:
2008 Crash: It took 5.5 years to return to pre-crash levels
2020 Crash: Recovered in just 4 months
2024 Crash: Could see a recovery in as little as 2 months, thanks to aggressive central bank interventions.
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The Second Bull Run:
Triggered by the Aggressive Central Bank Interventions.
This time, they might print more than 10, 20 or 30 Trillion USD, who knows, sending $BTC to 200k+.
This is where middle/lower class will eventually lose majority of their wealth due to FIAT debasement.
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1. Two black boxes are the extreme zones
2. We might don't see this two part bull run unfolding, then we'll just have a totally insane blow-off top this year.
3. $KAS = Your Store of Value this Decade
First Bull Run 👇

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