9 Tweets 1 reads Feb 03, 2024
#Turnaround
High level case study
Incredible transformation results in 20x returns in 1 year for this co.
Sales - more than doubled
OPM% from 3-4% to 12%
Interest exp - fell over a period due to deleveraging
PAT - from consistent loss to 600cr.
๐Ÿ‘โ™ป๏ธ๐Ÿงต
1/
2/ Huge Deleveraging:
Balance sheet transformations are some of the strongest signals of potential turnarounds
3/ Interesting fact about the co.
Its into DI pipes & Specialised Ferro Alloys
Their Ferro Alloy realisation is incredibly high & probably the highest in the industry at +1.70L/ton, here's comparison to Shyam & Sandur.
P.S - I don't track the industry closely
4/ Their specialised ferro alloy find application in aerospace & defence.
5/ Thats the name, #Jaibalaji
Big Capex plans to support the Tailwinds. You should read about the company to fully appreciate it.
6/ So, some of the factors to look for a potential Turnaround story during results season
- B/S getting strong w/ debt reducing drastically
- Keep an eye on amazing spike in either YoY Sales/ OPM%/ PAT performance -> Worst -> Better -> Goodโ™ป๏ธ
- Low starting multiple = Re-rating
The stronger the factors/spike the higher the probability of greater returns.
Disclosure: Only for educational purpose, not a Buy/Sell recommendation.
NOTE: Liquidity is Low in this stock, which was another reason for the Hyperbolic returns. However, idea was to show how financials of a turnaround business looks like.
7/ How to spot these companies:
1. Screener Quarterly results tool, if using free version, you can still browse manually.
or
2. Create a custom screen to filter for such co. -> make sure to tick "Only companies with Dec 2023 results" & Refresh the list daily at the EOD.

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