#Israel's strike in #Damascus today is a huge development & a major escalation. 3 #IRGC-QF Generals: - Brig. Gen. Mohammed Zahedi (Commander, #Syria & #Lebanon)
- Gen. Hossein Aminullah (Chief of General Staff, #Syria & #Lebanon)
- Maj. Gen. Haj Rahimi (Commander, Palestine)
Since the Feb 7 U.S. strike in #Baghdad, we've had zero confirmed #Iran proxy attacks on U.S. bases in #Iraq & #Syria. It's quite likely that freeze could now end. The #IRGC has often used U.S. "soft targets" in #Iraq & #Syria as one form of retaliation for #Israel's actions.
For months, Iranian ballistic missiles, cruise missiles & suicide drones have targeted Israeli & U.S. targets in #Iraq, #Syria, the Gulf & #Israel itself -- but all launched from outside #Iran's territory. Could that now change? Or will #Iran hit targets in the #KRG again?
At the end of the day, #Israel's strike today hit at the heart of the #IRGC-QF's most sensitive frontline -- and inside #Iran's Embassy compound, no less. A response is guaranteed. The Q is whether it'll target #Israel, Israelis, U.S. regional assets... or something else.
Given the #IRGC's established track record for targeting American troops as retaliation for Israeli actions, I'd be surprised if we don't see a resumption of attacks in #Syria, and maybe also #Iraq. Plus an intensification of longer-range missile launches, incl. at #Israel.