Next, Testa (2004) finds in a paper entitled Population Density and Fertility, that for Indonesia, fertility is strongly negatively correlated with density across the provinces. 8/11
Numerous other papers show similar negative relationships between density and fertility.
Demographer @lymanstoneky noted this week, "There are basically zero studies that have been able to argue that density was pro-natal, on any measure of density." 9/11
Demographer @lymanstoneky noted this week, "There are basically zero studies that have been able to argue that density was pro-natal, on any measure of density." 9/11
Pundits including @mattyglesias and @bryan_caplan argue for densification on the basis of reduced housing costs.
Tokyo has done this, building tall towers and bringing down prices. Yet its fertility rate remains lowest in Japan (1.04 in 2022)!
Why? Density hurts birthrates! 10/11
Tokyo has done this, building tall towers and bringing down prices. Yet its fertility rate remains lowest in Japan (1.04 in 2022)!
Why? Density hurts birthrates! 10/11
With fertility rates collapsing in πΊπΈ and most other countries, it is not enough to simply build housing.
Housing must be of a pro-natal rather than an anti-natal form. Above all that means lower density.
Since housing endures for generations, getting this right is crucial. 11/11
Housing must be of a pro-natal rather than an anti-natal form. Above all that means lower density.
Since housing endures for generations, getting this right is crucial. 11/11
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