Will the Democrats replace Joe Biden? After last night, it’s obvious that many would certainly like to.
But here’s why that is unlikely to happen.
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But here’s why that is unlikely to happen.
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First off, Biden won 99% of the pledged delegates to the convention, where they are obligated to support him – unless he willingly steps down.
The DNC also still appears to be moving forward with its plan to nominate Biden early (sometime before Aug. 7) via a virtual roll call.
The DNC also still appears to be moving forward with its plan to nominate Biden early (sometime before Aug. 7) via a virtual roll call.
Biden has given no sign that he is interested in stepping down.
After he left the debate stage, he told supporters, “Let’s keep going.” He allegedly agreed to a second debate. Jill’s post-debate video was optimistic. None of this points to him leaving.
x.com
After he left the debate stage, he told supporters, “Let’s keep going.” He allegedly agreed to a second debate. Jill’s post-debate video was optimistic. None of this points to him leaving.
x.com
There’s no obvious successor. Kamala is most likely, being Biden’s VP, but she can’t just replace him on the ticket.
Whatever other complicated ordeal other candidates would have to go through to replace Biden, she too would have to go through.
Whatever other complicated ordeal other candidates would have to go through to replace Biden, she too would have to go through.
Kamala also isn’t terribly popular.
She did poorly in the 2020 primaries. She isn’t Trump, which for many voters is enough, but all voters except blacks and non-white women appear to favor Biden over her.
She did poorly in the 2020 primaries. She isn’t Trump, which for many voters is enough, but all voters except blacks and non-white women appear to favor Biden over her.
None of the other potential alternatives – Newsom, Pritzker, and Whitmer – poll much better vs Trump than Biden does.
They are all younger than him, sure, but at the end of the day, none of them offer the Dems a substantially greater chance of victory.
They are all younger than him, sure, but at the end of the day, none of them offer the Dems a substantially greater chance of victory.
Money is also a huge factor.
$346 million has been spent to elect Biden. Sunk costs apply.
At the end of May, his campaign had $212 million on hand. That money would be available to Kamala, but probably not another candidate.
$346 million has been spent to elect Biden. Sunk costs apply.
At the end of May, his campaign had $212 million on hand. That money would be available to Kamala, but probably not another candidate.
This post today from Obama, the most iconic living Democrat, indicates that Biden isn't going anywhere.
If the Dem elites intended to swap him out, Obama wouldn’t have tweeted this.
This is Obama telling his side to get it together and focus on winning.
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If the Dem elites intended to swap him out, Obama wouldn’t have tweeted this.
This is Obama telling his side to get it together and focus on winning.
x.com
For these reasons, Biden is unlikely to be replaced.
The Democrats will opt for other strategies to beat Trump. As to what those are...time will tell!
The Democrats will opt for other strategies to beat Trump. As to what those are...time will tell!
Lastly – I understand why people believe Biden might step down.
The consternation seen among journalists, Dem operatives, and so forth last night was really remarkable.
But these people have emotions too! They aren't all cold, calculating Machiavellians.
The consternation seen among journalists, Dem operatives, and so forth last night was really remarkable.
But these people have emotions too! They aren't all cold, calculating Machiavellians.
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