Some π on xG:
π Over a long spell, a season and more the goals scored is on par or higher(sign of quality finishing) with xG.
π When teams score 4/5 goals and more, it will mostly off of 2-3 xG, very rarely will a team score those many goals off of the same amount of xG...
π Over a long spell, a season and more the goals scored is on par or higher(sign of quality finishing) with xG.
π When teams score 4/5 goals and more, it will mostly off of 2-3 xG, very rarely will a team score those many goals off of the same amount of xG...
π Those one sided scorelines usually happen and indicate that one side has been extremely clinical on the night, not that the side has outplayed another.
F.e. both sides could end up with an xG of 2 but one scores 0 and the other 5 goals on the night.
...
F.e. both sides could end up with an xG of 2 but one scores 0 and the other 5 goals on the night.
...
π xG alone is not a determinant of your performance. It's just a measure of your chances and often the quality of them. But it's also true that better performances are accompanied with higher xG.
π Over a season, spells of overperformance will be met by spells of...
π Over a season, spells of overperformance will be met by spells of...
underperformance, if not in one season then across multiple seasons but things almost always balance out.
π If you can't back overperformance with quality, be it individual or collective, example for the latter would be Xavi's title winning season, very soon it will be met...
π If you can't back overperformance with quality, be it individual or collective, example for the latter would be Xavi's title winning season, very soon it will be met...
with a reality check.
π Take xG in individual games with a pinch of salt, use it with other metrics like xT(expected threat), xP(expected points), shot quality, shot maps, etc. for better context.
contd....
π Take xG in individual games with a pinch of salt, use it with other metrics like xT(expected threat), xP(expected points), shot quality, shot maps, etc. for better context.
contd....
will mostly *be*...
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