Phillips P. OBrien
Professor of Strategic Studies, @univofstandrews, Author: How the War was Won, and Second Most Powerful Man in the World. Editor in Chief, War in History
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Sunday Update. The Line finally moved and it was meaningful. The Ukrainian victory that was many months in the making. https://t.co/YxUcXsQfOg
Weekend Update, Battle of the Bridges, week 2 or week 8 (doesnt really matter). Ukrainian strategy now seems confirmed, the Russians have behaved as expected, and its a question no...
I really hope the idea that it was acceptable to drastically overestimate Russian capabilities 'to be on the safe side' is not an argument being made by anyone with credibility. It...
Sunday update--again little map change, but important shift to the south and west (Kherson) and what that means. Ukraine and the strategy of telegraphing intentions (or not).
Sunday update in Ukraine, what seems to be happening when little is changing on the map. On the surface this week, like the last 4, has been one of an almost static warfare. Almost...
You might have seen this Russian ammunition dump be blown up last night by the Ukrainians, it reveals more than any other attack Ive seen about the state of the logistics war and t...
Ukraine War/Battle of the Donbas update. Sorry I have not done this for 3 weeks, but actually had a break and went to Sicily and have been trying to catch up with loads since. Howe...
Sunday update. Looking at the Donbas, seems either the Russians are running short of vehicles or the Ukrainian Army is running out of the ability to destroy them. My guess the form...
Battle of the Donbas, loss rates and why Russia has to act soon or it wont be able to act at all. War after the opening phase (which we have passed) it not about doctrine or the or...
An article of mine has appeared in @TheAtlantic , itβs to start questioning why the analysis of the Russian military was so mistaken. One thing I think we need to understand is tha...
A tweet thread on why we are almost certainly overestimating the amount of strength the Russian Army has on hand, and the amount they can actually get to Ukraine when their first f...