Political Analysis
319 Threads
“If only people knew the real situation in the country X” The problem very often is not that they don’t know, but that they *refuse* to know. It’s somehow more acceptable to doubl...
An important way that bureaucracies perpetuate their power is the system of small favours. A small wrinkle in the rule book forces the common citizen to ask for a minor favour (a p...
Translated an interesting intelligence report from Jan 1760, by the Marathi vakil from Delhi to Pune, about the plans of each state, a year before the big battle of Panipat in 1761...
Regarding mobilisation, Putin can declare it, indeed. But it will be a risky decision. The USSR maintained a massive infrastructure for the total mobilisation which has been mostly...
The US media should stop bullying Joe Biden, he's old and lost Every time he say something in regards to Taiwan The White House would have to come out and walk back his statement...
Hi new followers! Since u followed me after #APSA2022 where @kath_stoner, @darelasn, Olena Nikolayenko & I disputed Mearsheimer’s claim that NATO expansion made Putin 2 attack 🇺🇦,...
I am not a military or 'border conflict' expert. I am a political analyst with years of fieldwork research in Kyrgyzstan. Since there is a need to explain what's going b/n Kyrgyzst...
CPI report not pretty. Headline fine (0.1% CPI for Aug or a 1.4% annual rate in that month, with prices up 8.3% over the last year). Problem is excluding volatile food and energy...
Ukraine's David is giving Russia's Goliath a real hard kicking and making swift, dramatic advances. Amongst other things, this has sparked an uptick (on this medium) of big claims...
The British monarchy is just ceremonial and has been this way for 800 years. Its power is nominal, i.e. it only exists in name. The actual power lies with the "Templar Crown", a.k....
All the World Economic Forum (WEF) documents are procedurally generated grimoires of buzzwords. They are almost unreadable. The closer you look at their white papers, the less subs...
1/ Join us later today for the rollout of an important paper by @AndrKolesnikov and Denis Volkov of @levada_ru explaining why landscape of Russian public opinion on the war in Ukra...
In July 2001 AG John Ashcroft stops flying commercial aircraft. He orders his acting FBI chief to stop briefing him about Al qaeda saying “there’s nothing I can do about that.” Sho...
1/ It isn't "Woke" It isn't "Critical Race Theory" It isn't "Socialism" It isn't "Critical Social Justice" It isn't "Neo-marxism" It isn't "Cultural Marxism" It isn't "political co...
This is a thread to question the latest UN report on the Xinjiang situation. There's a lot of suspicious elements in the report that calls into question its objectivity and legit...
Below is a translation of Igor Girkin's latest update on the situation in South Ukraine. We encourage taking this report with a grain of salt as Girkin in our eyes has lost his cre...
Interesting how even recent events become clouded in mythology. @BMarchetich put forward this idea that Putin and Zelensky almost reached a deal in March and then Johnson came to...
One of the objectives that @DrRadchenko and I wanted to achieve in our @ForeignAffairs piece (link below) is to debunk some of the prevailing myths about Russia. Here are the most...
It's time for a thread on the European natural gas freakout. No doubt, Europe should be concerned given that the TTF contract is up over 200% YTD. But with the EURUSD at parity (a...
I really hope the idea that it was acceptable to drastically overestimate Russian capabilities 'to be on the safe side' is not an argument being made by anyone with credibility. It...
Trump Paranoia Thread 1/ Trump is now experiencing increasing paranoia, and rage of betrayal. Let's take delight in what pain past few days have given Trump https://t.co/IEZrn0dMX...
OF DOCTORED DATA AND DAYTIME THIEVERY If you grow numbers in a greenhouse the process will most certainly backfire. Statistical data necessarily follows an organic and predictab...
Thread 1: Communist Betrayal Of Indian Independence Movement: 1942 Secret British India Files Till 1941 June 22, Communist Party of India was with people of India and again Bri...
#PartitionHorrorsRemembranceDay Some quotes in this thread. Alain Danielou says in Histoire de l'Inde: "India whose ancient borders stretched until Afghanistan, lost with the co...