THE SHORT BEAR
Stoic trader and investor | since 2013 | driven by Philosophy & Psychology | VC & PE|Tweets are purely for entertainment purposes and not investment advice
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Despite a hawkish tone, the truth is that these things are all known. We have been getting told no cuts in 23 meeting after meeting. The FED is basically looking to raise by 25...
Work and project prioritizing In terms of work projects I prioritize what brings me the most growth long term. I prioritize self compounding payoff asymmetry. In short: self c...
There is power to routine and you start enjoying it when you have absolute freedom. Mature freedom is the power of appreciating structure. Disciplined structure leads to apprec...
Time to reflect on the goals I had for 2022 • Playing Par or max one over (per hole) ❌ -> First of all far harder than expected and a bit naive from the get go. I was traveling...
This entire market will need a lot of cleaning up in order to restore into a full blown bull market. The QE bid is gone for now. The only way it comes back is a CPI under 2.5 a...
$KALA +$679,165.08 Little happy new year chart from me today. I thought you would enjoy this one as it diverges a bit from the usual setups. Shorted yesterday and got stopped ou...
This market keeps on proving that the hardest thing of bear markets is patience and being calm. It has been at leadt 5 times it looks like we were out of the weeds. It is easy t...
With China reopening we could be seeing a risk to commodity reinflation. The Chinese slowdown was a blessing for inflation easing and these forces are likely to work in reverse n...
50% of recessions see positive returns. Only 1 out of 12 instances saw negative returns one year after the start of it. 50% of market corrections prior to the recession show po...
Bubbles are never the same but they sure do rhyme. Let us look into the past and what is needed to finally see the start of a new bull market. I use $ARKK as a proxy for growth...
If we can beat inflation like this despite rents lagging behind and increasing, it is truly deflation that will become the biggest risk into late 2023. Reason being we are still t...
Next days will give us more insight, but a day like today, where inflation comes in lower and we sell off shows me that the narrative could be shifting from a focus on inflation to...